A new poll that shows Republicans “catching up” to Democrats leading into the fall midterm congressional election also shows that voters trust President Trump more than liberals on fixing the economy and keeping America safe.
By a wide 45 percent to 34 percent margin, the latest Zogby Analytics poll found that voters trust Trump more to “grow the U.S. economy.”
And by a similar 45 percent to 38 percent margin, they also trust Trump “to keep America safe.”
In both cases, the Trump approval numbers show steady gains while the Democrats have remained flat in the survey provided to Secrets.
The Zogby Analytics polling analysis said the numbers are good for Trump and his reelection chances. “If Trump can show that under his tenure there is peace and prosperity, he might be hard to beat in 2020 and Republicans might be able to offset some loses and retain the House and Senate in the 2018 midterms,” it said.
The survey also showed Republicans starting to close the gap in the congressional fight.
While Democrats have held steady at 40 percent support since May, Republicans have increased from 33 percent to 37 percent.
“Republicans are catching-up,” said the survey.
“Where Republicans are gaining serious ground is with independents (Republicans lead Democrats 24 percent to 22 percent), and union voters (Republicans lead Democrats 38 percent to 37 percent). Republicans are also doing well with small city voters (Republicans and Democrats are tied at 36 percent), suburban voters, (Republicans lead Democrats 42 percent to 36 percent), NASCAR fans (Republicans lead Democrats 45 percent to 33 percent), and weekly Walmart shoppers (Republicans lead Democrats 42 percent to 39 percent),” said the survey.
The takeaways found by Zogby Analytics:
- Republicans are doing much better than they were a few months ago when it comes to the congressional generic.
- Republicans continue to make big gains with independents, small city voters, and union voters. President Trump is doing well enough among his base-men, older voters age 50+, Walmart Shoppers, NASCAR fans, voters without college degrees, rural voters, small city voters, plus, voters in general are happy with their current finances, and optimistic about the next four years for the economy.
- Since our last poll in June, the president has consolidated his lead over Democrats when it comes to who voters trust on issues of growing the economy and security.
- President Trump will need to get his numbers in the mid-forties percentage wise regarding who voters trust more “growing the economy and keeping America safe” among voters age 25-34, women, and independents. Trump will also need to receive strong support from his base to prevent Democrats from making serious gains in the November congressional midterm elections.
- Trump’s doing alright regarding his job approval rating, and is much more trusted with “growing the economy and keeping America safe” than Democratic leaders. He is also benefitting from a decent economy, a low unemployment rate and an inflated stock market. All of these factors can change pretty quickly. From now until November lots of things can change, and there is always lurking an “October surprise”, which could hurt Republicans.
