A day after Gallup shook the political world by revealing that more adults now prefer to be called Republican than Democrat, a second survey just out confirmed the public’s shift to the GOP amid President Joe Biden’s polling collapse.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey found a sizable GOP advantage in the 2022 midterm elections, further evidence of a Republican red wave.
The Rasmussen survey, previewed by Secrets, showed a 9-point GOP advantage. Asked if the election were being held today, voters said that they would choose Republicans 48% to Democrats 39%.
The gap was largest among independent voters, significant because, a day earlier, Gallup said that they are the largest political group in America. Among independents, 43% would choose the GOP candidate and 28% the Democrat. In keeping with their more libertarian leanings, 20% said they are “not sure.”
The analysis noted that Democrats had a similar lead when they won back control of Congress in 2018. Said Rasmussen, “In January 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats held an eight-point advantage (45% to 37%) in the generic ballot question.”
The very pro-Republican findings follow Gallup’s Monday release that revealed a 14-point shift from adults identifying as Democrats to Republicans in the final quarter of 2021 when Biden was rattled by bad political moves and worse approval ratings.
In the end, Gallup said that the party voters identified as shifted 14 points in the fourth quarter, from Democrats leading by 9 points to the GOP ahead by 5. That is a 25-year high for the Republicans.
The survey analysis blamed Biden’s polling free-fall, his failure in Afghanistan, and the COVID-19 fight for the shift.
