Surprise: Jeb jumps to 2nd in N.H., 18% to Trump’s 35%

There’s new evidence that Jeb Bush is making a move in New Hampshire, just like his dad did 28 years ago when he limped out of the Iowa Caucus after a third place finish to take the Granite State, paving his way to winning the GOP nomination.

An Emerson College poll released Wednesday finds Jeb Bush in second, at 18 percent support, following Donald Trump, at 35 percent. The poll also confirms Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s emergence as a big player, at 14 percent.

The poll is the first to show a Bush jump, an outlier that isn’t getting a lot of media play as a result, but it does track somewhat with what some Bush insiders see as a new surge in his campaign.

The Emerson College Polling Society survey was conducted Monday and Tuesday to registered voters with a landline. The sample was of registered likely primary voters, 350 Democrats and 373 Republicans.

Among other Republicans, Emerson put Sen. Marco Rubio at 9 percent, Sen. Ted Cruz at 8 percent and Chris Christie at 5 percent.

On the Democratic side, it had Bernie Sanders holding a “steady lead” over Hillary Clinton, 52 percent to 44 percent.

The survey analysis gave credit for Bush’s rise to advertising and a hit taken by Trump after Sarah Palin endorsed him. “Sarah Palin’s recent endorsement of Trump seems to have had an overall negative impact on voters – 55 percent are less likely to vote for Trump as a result of the endorsement,” said the analysis.

Paul Bedard, the Washington Examiner’s “Washington Secrets” columnist, can be contacted at [email protected].

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