A few were close, but just as in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, the pollsters blew it in predicting last week’s surprising vote outcome in the United Kingdom.
A new review of the polls found that one, Survation, got closest with a 1 point victory for Theresa May’s Conservative Party. They actually have a 2 point lead.
But most were way off, according to the “Lunchtime Politics” email from polling expert Ron Faucheux.
Here’s what he reported:
HOW DID THE POLLS DO? In last week’s general election, the Conservative Party led the popular vote by 2 points over the Labour Party. Here’s how the final polls did:
- BMG/The Herald: Conservatives +13
- ICM/The Guardian: Conservatives +12
- ComRes/Independent: Conservatives +10
- Ipsos/MORI/Evening Standard: Conservatives +8
- Panelbase: Conservatives +8
- Opinium: Conservatives +7
- YouGov/The Times: Conservatives +7
- Kantar: Conservatives +5
- Survey Monkey/The Sun: Conservatives +4
- Survation: Conservatives +1
- Qriously/Wired: Labour +2
Paul Bedard, the Washington Examiner’s “Washington Secrets” columnist, can be contacted at [email protected]
