Welcome to a new week with Washington Secrets. Visitors are descending on the nation’s capital for the semiquincentennial, we’re getting to the business end of the World Cup, and there’s an end of term feeling in the air. Today we bring you a fascinating new poll that dives into the core groups inside the Trump coalition, and worrying signs for Republicans that the most fragile part of it cannot be relied upon in the midterms, plus there is bad news for pedophiles hoping to run for Republican Party office in North Carolina…

Donald Trump’s political career has long broken the laws of political physics. Gaffes, defeats, and even a criminal conviction that could have killed off other politicians have only hardened his support.