Trump has a 69% chance of being impeached before end of second term: Polymarket

Published June 23, 2026 1:32pm ET | Updated June 23, 2026 1:32pm ET



President Donald Trump is likely to be impeached by the House by the end of his term, according to the prediction platform Polymarket.

Traders on Polymarket price the odds that the House will pass articles of impeachment against the president before he leaves office at 69%, as of Tuesday afternoon. Leading Democrats in Congress have deliberately avoided impeachment rhetoric, though their stances could change if they see favorable results in November’s midterm elections.

Already a print subscriber? Click here to login/register your account

Trusted reporting.Unlimited access.

Subscribe for full access to Washington Examiner coverage, expert political analysis, and subscriber-only journalism.

Get Unlimited Access

Already a member? Log in

Cancel anytime.