Why regime change did not happen in Iran

Published June 8, 2026 6:00am ET



Military campaigns by external powers, combined with psychological warfare against authoritarian regimes, can be highly effective in weakening morale, encouraging dissent, and creating instability. However, if poorly calibrated, it may also generate excessive excitement and emotional overreaction among the population, ultimately exposing opposition networks to the regime’s security apparatus.

In highly totalitarian systems, emotional mobilization without sufficient operational security, discipline, and organizational protection can unintentionally strengthen the regime rather than weaken it.

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