How Japan sustains Russia’s missile production

Published July 2, 2026 8:00am ET



Japanese technology continues to enable Russia’s war against Ukraine in ways that directly affect American security interests. According to Ukraine’s Commissioner for Sanctions Policy, Vladyslav Vlasiuk, electronic components manufactured by Japanese companies appear in approximately 90% of Russian cruise and ballistic missiles, as well as unmanned aerial vehicles used in the conflict. Internal Ukrainian documents also confirm the presence of Japanese semiconductor components in Kh-101 cruise missiles and similar systems.

This challenge is not merely technical. It carries strategic, human, and alliance-wide consequences. According to a 2022 Royal United Services Institute report, Japan was the second-largest supplier of foreign microelectronics found in Russian weapons recovered from Ukrainian battlefields, behind only the United States. Analysts have identified more than 450 distinct foreign components across multiple captured systems. Restricting these technology flows could degrade Russia’s military capabilities, yet Japanese components still underpin navigation, flight control, and targeting across Russian missiles and drones.

In the early days of Russia’s 2022 upgraded operation, Japan promptly aligned with the U.S. and Group of Seven partners, restricting exports of dual-use goods and advanced technology to Russia. Official Japanese trade data reflect a steep drop in direct exports of controlled categories. However, Russian defense businesses have not only continued but also increased the incorporation of Japanese-origin electronics into new production. Most reach Russia through diversion via third countries, where commercial shipments are rerouted or laundered before arriving at their final destination. 

Russia’s dependence on imported components is proving costly for the U.S. To sustain both the production rate and performance of its precision-strike arsenal, Moscow needs a steady flow of foreign parts. Since Russian President Vladimir Putin launched his bloody full-scale invasion, thousands of missiles and drones have struck Ukrainian cities and critical infrastructure, forcing Kyiv to stretch its air defenses thin and divert resources into constant reconstruction. Those burdens fall heavily on Western capitals, led by Washington, which must continue to provide security assistance and economic support. As long as sanctions leave gaps that let Russia access high-quality foreign inputs, they lose much of their force, and the war simply drags on at greater expense.

The U.S. and Japan maintain a close alliance rooted in shared democratic values and mutual defense commitments. Japanese technological prowess strengthens collective capabilities in economic and security domains alike. Yet, continued leakage of sensitive components into Russian weapons erodes coordinated policy and risks giving Moscow performance leverage over Western systems.

As a result, U.S. policymakers should consider two practical steps to tackle this problem. 

The U.S. should create a joint enforcement mechanism with Japan to prevent its electronic components from reaching Russian weapons. By matching serial numbers and markings from captured Russian systems against Tokyo’s export records, investigators could identify both the smuggling networks and the Japanese firms that continue to enable them. Public findings would force better industry vetting and supply chain controls, while secondary sanctions would raise the actual costs of future violations. Finally, Washington should then tie any expansion of technology cooperation and defense-industrial ties directly to measurable progress on export enforcement.

NO ONE BUYS CHINESE PROPAGANDA AGAINST JAPAN. OR DO THEY?

While nominal “allies” such as Turkey and Qatar act as Islamist fifth columns, Japan remains a vital partner. Yet, Tokyo’s access to elite U.S. defense programs and secure supply chains should not be unconditional. Before receiving priority access to tomorrow’s sensitive military technology, Japan must first prove a sustained, verifiable elimination of Japanese components from Russia’s war machine. This kind of conditionality would tie commercial benefits directly to strategic responsibility without damaging the wider alliance. 

In an era of intensifying great-power competition, America cannot afford to subsidize its adversaries through the back door of allied supply chains.

Jose Lev Alvarez is an American–Israeli scholar specializing in international security policy. A multilingual veteran of the IDF special forces and the U.S. Army, he holds three master’s degrees and is completing a Ph.D. in Intelligence and Global Security in the Washington, D.C., area.