Comparing Trump vs. Clinton polls to 2004, ’08 and ’12

Published May 2, 2016 6:46pm ET



Possibly the loudest argument that Donald Trump’s Republican opponents make is that Trump would lose the general election to Hillary Clinton in a landslide. According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls pitting Trump against Clinton in the general election, Trump would lose by 7.3 percentage points. At times, the average gap has been as small as 0.6 percentage points or as large as 19.6 points, both in favor of Clinton.

Of the 64 times Trump vs. Clinton has been polled, Trump has led only five times.

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