Alaska: Begich trails as new GPS ad hits the air against him

Crossroads GPS has released a new ad against incumbent Sen. Mark Begich, D-Alaska, just as a new poll has come out showing him trailing his Republican challenger, former Attorney General Dan Sullivan, 41 percent to 43 percent.

The Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling found that Sullivan has increased in popularity with voters in Alaska by six points since PPP’s last survey in August, while the very vulnerable Begich’s approval rating languishes at 42 percent, with 51 percent disapproving.

Begich has fallen behind and finds himself languishing in the low 40s despite a significant commitment of Democratic resources to his race. Left-leaning outside groups have spent nearly $10 million so far, most of it to attack Sullivan. Republican-aligned outside groups have committed only about $6 million.

More from PPP:

Sullivan has gained six points since our last poll in early August, while Begich has dropped two. Sullivan’s gain has come largely due to consolidating his support among Republican leaning voters since winning the primary last month. He now leads 75/9 among folks who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, compared to 70/11 on the last survey. Sullivan’s seen significant improvement in his image as conservative voters have rallied around him too — his net favorability is up 10 points from -8 at 35/43 last month to now +2 at 44/42. Begich’s approval is a 42/51 spread.

Making life more difficult for Begich is Barack Obama’s continued unpopularity in the state — only 40 percent of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 56 percent who disapprove. Nevertheless the contest remains very much in the toss up zone.

The numbers are from a PPP survey conducted Sept. 18 to 21. The survey polled 880 U.S. adults aged 18 and older and contains a sampling margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 points.

“Alaska’s going to keep political watchers up late on election night,” Public Policy Polling president Dean Debnam said in a statement. “It looks like there will be a lot of intrigue in both of the state’s key races.”

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