Scenario for a Republican nightmare in the 2016 elections

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The 2016 presidential election is shaping up as another close race, like the last four. From 2000 to 2012, both major parties’ nominees received between 45 and 53 percent of the vote.

Historically, that’s a narrow range, not seen since 1880-1892. It suggests something close to parity between two highly competitive parties.

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