Former aides from Bernie Sanders’s second presidential bid may have revolted against the Vermont senator’s pledge to back Joe Biden, but it sure doesn’t seem like any significant portion of Sanders’s supporters will follow suit.

In 2016, 20% of Sanders fans swore they’d vote for President Trump over Hillary Clinton, but on Election Day, half that number actually did so. If that trend followed a 2020 poll showing 15% of Sanders supporters claiming they wouldn’t back Biden, then even fewer would actually vote for Trump come November. A new Pew Research poll indicates the total number of defectors may be smaller still.