Voters in Kentucky and Oregon will have their say in the Democratic presidential primary Tuesday, with 116 delegates up for grabs. Here’s how the delegates will be distributed once the votes are counted.
Kentucky
Final polls close at 7 p.m. ET.
Total delegates: 60, which is 3 percent of the delegates required to clinch the Democratic nomination.
Superdelegates: Five. Two are committed to Hillary Clinton, none are committed to Bernie Sanders and the rest are undecided or currently vacant.
Other delegates: 55. Proportional distribution. Eighteen of the delegates will be distributed proportionally according to the statewide vote. The remaining 37 are distributed among the state’s six congressional districts. Delegates per district range from four-nine — those delegates are distributed proportionally according to the district vote. Candidates must get 15 percent to earn any delegates statewide or in a congressional district.
The most recent poll in Kentucky is two months old and gave Clinton a 5-point lead over Sanders. Let’s say Clinton wins 52 percent of the delegates in Kentucky and Sanders gets the rest. Here’s how the delegate count would look:
Clinton: 29 delegates from Kentucky, 2,269 total (95 percent to clinching the nomination)
Sanders: 26 delegates from Kentucky, 1,502 total (63 percent to clinching the nomination)
Oregon
Final polls close at 11 p.m. ET.
Total delegates: 74, which is 3 percent of the delegates required to clinch the Democratic nomination.
Superdelegates: 13. Six are committed to Clinton, one is committed to Sanders, the rest are undecided.
Other delegates: 61. Proportional distribution. Twenty of the delegates will be distributed proportionally according to the statewide vote. The remaining 41 are distributed among six areas: the state’s five congressional districts, with one of them split into two. Delegates per district range from three-11 — those delegates are distributed proportionally according to the district vote. Candidates must get 15 percent to earn any delegates statewide or in a congressional district.
The Democratic primary in Oregon has been polled only once, and it gave Clinton a 15-point lead over Sanders. Bettors, however, give Sanders a 78 percent chance of winning the primary. Given that conflicting information, let’s just say Clinton and Sanders equally split the state’s non-superdelegates. Here’s how the delegate count would look (not counting what might happen in Kentucky):
Clinton: 30 delegates from Oregon, 2,270 total (95 percent to clinching the nomination)
Sanders: 30 delegates from Oregon, 1,503 total (63 percent to clinching the nomination)
Donald Trump is the only remaining candidate for the GOP nomination. Even if he wins every delegate from now until the end of the race, Trump wouldn’t clinch the majority of delegates required until the very last day of GOP primaries, June 7. Republicans also vote Tuesday in Oregon, but not in Kentucky (where Trump already won).
Jason Russell is a commentary writer for the Washington Examiner.
