Although press reports suggest that President Bush and Karl Rove are predicting the GOP will experience minimal losses in the November election and, as a result, hold both the House and Senate, this optimism appears wholly misplaced.

It now seems clear that George W. Bush has permanently lost the confidence of the bulk of the American people. His approval ratings remain mired in the 30s and, unlike past election cycles, many Republican candidates are running away from Bush as fast as they can. As the Los Angeles Times noted in endorsing California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger for re-election: “He has distinguished himself from the Bush administration. …”

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