After nearly a year and a half of diplomatic efforts, the United States has seemingly struck an agreement with the Taliban to wind down the conflict in Afghanistan.

It’s not exactly a “peace deal” as some media reports suggest, but rather a reduction-in-violence arrangement that requires Taliban fighters to put down their guns, mortars, and suicide belts for a week. The hard work of actually making peace will only occur once the weeklong truce is implemented. Even then, peace in Afghanistan is hardly a sure thing.