Is any candidate getting a bump in New Hampshire from his or her showing in Iowa? Post-Iowa poll results are starting to come in, and it looks like the answer is yes.
On the Republican side, Marco Rubio has spiked upward from 9.5 percent on Febuary 1 to 14.3 percent on February 4, a significant rise but one which leaves Donald Trump, with 32 percent, still way ahead in first place. But Rubio’s apparent rise shouldn’t be overstated. The average of post-February 1 polling puts him ahead of Ted Cruz, John Kasich and Jeb Bush, but not very far ahead, and still well short of his dream scenario — a strong enough finish to put an effective end to the Kasich, Bush and Christie campaigns.
On the Democratic side, the four February polls show a rout for Bernie Sanders, 58 percent to 35 percent for Hillary Clinton. The Clinton percentage is actually not so far off from what she got when she won the state in 2008, 39 percent to 36 percent for Iowa winner Barack Obama. The difference is that there was a third serious competitor (or one who was taken seriously, anyway) John Edwards, who won 17 percent of the vote. If any Democrat is getting a bump from Iowa, it’s Sanders.
