In 2008, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee surprised many Beltway pundits by coming out of nowhere on a shoestring budget to win the Iowa caucuses and finish as the runner-up to eventual nominee John McCain in the delegate count. Wary of underestimating Huckabee a second time, we’re starting to see more punditry cautioning against writing off his chances. My friend Matt Lewis has the latest column of this genre. Though I wouldn’t dismiss Huckabee’s ability to affect the race by further carving up the evangelical vote, I’d caution against overrating his chances. Here are the reasons why his 2016 campaign is likely to be a bust.

We aren’t in 2008 anymore