A new Roanoke College poll shows President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump tied at 42% in a head-to-head matchup in Virginia. In a five-way race, Biden leads by 2 points. Considering that Biden won Virginia in 2020 by 9.4 points, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won in 2016 by 5.3 points, the fact that Trump is even competitive in a blue state is stunning. 

On the eve of the 2020 election, the RealClearPolitics average of polls in Virginia showed Biden up 11.5 points, meaning he underperformed expectations by 2.1%. RCP’s current polling average shows Biden with a 3-point advantage.