Can Virginia really go for Trump?

Published September 22, 2024 2:00pm ET



The last time that a Republican presidential candidate carried the commonwealth of Virginia was in 2004. 

It was a year after the invasion of Iraq, George W. Bush was running for reelection as the incumbent president, the memory of 9/11 was fresh, and Republicans were on a 40-year win streak in the state’s presidential elections. No Democratic presidential nominee had carried Virginia since Lyndon Johnson’s landslide victory over Barry Goldwater in 1964.

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