SIOUX CITY, IOWA — Sometime Monday night or Tuesday morning a storm is forecast to hit here. At first it will probably be rain. Then heavy winds. Then snow. Blizzard conditions are possible.
If the blizzard came Monday afternoon it would dramatically suppress voter turnout at the caucuses. Currently, that’s not in the forecast.
Weather.com, as of 8 p.m. Central on Saturday night, says that in the 6 p.m. hour Monday, when voters would be heading to the caucuses, there’s a 40 percent chance of rain and maybe snow in Council Bluffs, at the western end of Iowa.
In northwestern Iowa, the most conservative Christian part of the state, the rain isn’t forecast until later. Des Moines should also be spared snow until after the caucuses, as well. The accumulation won’t be bad until the overnight hours in all likelihood.
This suggests to me, a minor depression of turnout in the southwestern part of the state, and little weather effect elsewhere.
Timothy P. Carney, The Washington Examiner’s senior political columnist, can be contacted at [email protected]. His column appears Tuesday and Thursday nights on washingtonexaminer.com.
