Donald Trump is going to win tonight and win big. If you want some suspense in your evening, here are things to follow:
1.) Can Kasich carry a congressional district or two in Maryland? Each Maryland congressional district is worth three delegates. Trump will win at least five of them — probably six, seven or eight of them. But Kasich could carry the eight district or a couple of others. Kasich winning two districts is worth six delegates to the StopTrump folk.
2.) Can Trump win a majority in Connecticut? Connecticut allocates 13 of its delegates proportionately based on the statewide vote — unless the winner gets an outright majority, in which case he gets all 13. So Trump at 49 percent would get six or seven delegates, while Trump at 51 percent would get 13 delegates. That’s a decent swing.
3.) Will Cruz hit the 10 percent threshold in both Rhode Island districts? Rhode Island has a 10 percent threshold for winning both statewide delegates and congressional district delegates. If Cruz hits 10 percent in Rhode Island, he will get one or two statewide delegates and two congressional delegates. If he doesn’t, Trump gets both of his congressional delegates, and one or two of his statewide delegates.
Timothy P. Carney, the Washington Examiner’s senior political columnist, can be contacted at [email protected]. His column appears Tuesday and Thursday nights on washingtonexaminer.com.
