China would have us believe that its Wuhan region, where the novel coronavirus originated and spread to become a global pandemic, has not had a single new case for the past week. What do you think the odds are that this resembles the truth in any way?

China’s government has also reported only 3,000 deaths in the Hubei province, where Wuhan is located — a number that Wuhan’s residents have rejected as a full order of magnitude too small.