Monmouth released its first 2020 poll in New Hampshire since September, and it couldn’t be worse news for Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Her support in the Democratic primary has cratered from leading handily at 27% to fourth place at 15%. The poll has all but confirmed that the once-supreme candidate in the Granite State has collapsed.
The poll is decent news for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who rose from 12% to 18%, and incredible for Pete Buttigieg, who came in first place at 20%. His ten-point increase places him just above Joe Biden, who dipped to 19%.
And then there’s Warren, who represents New Hampshire’s neighbor in the Senate, just cracking the delegate threshold for the state.
The boyish former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, should not be cleaning house in the first two primary states, much less the one that handily delivered Sanders a whopping majority against Hillary Clinton in 2016. And yet he and Biden have been catching creeping up to the 20% mark in recent polling, risking Bernie’s supremacy in the state and imperiling Warren’s election odds.
Even worse for Warren is the collapse of her favorables, which, while still a net positive of 37, plummeted 18 points since the fall.
Biden, Buttigieg, and Bernie split the top of the polling in Iowa and New Hampshire. Biden still dominates polling in Nevada, South Carolina, and Texas. If Warren can’t even come in second in any of the first states, much less in the one in her home state’s media orbit, where can she win?
