The Washington Post‘s Ezra Klein has a post up on Obama’s “If you’ve got a business — you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen,” line and he writes:
You can see a lot of variation with business cycles and a bit of long-term growth (which is presumably due, in part, to population growth), but that’s about it. The 1990s, despite being a high-tax period, were, on average, better for new business formation than the 1980s. The 2000s were better than the 1990s, but this raises troubling questions for the whole focus on new business formation, as the economy of the 2000s featured a massive credit bubble and median wage stagnation.
Either way, the Kauffmann study concludes, “the period under study, the late 1970s to early 2000s, experienced a veritable explosion in efforts to promote and increase new-firm formation. The consistency discussed here suggests low sensitivity to short- and medium-term trends.” That is to say, recent history suggests that neither Romney nor Obama’s policies will have a massive effect on entrepreneurship.
But while the number of firms created may be the same, the size of the firms created, and the number of people they employ, has not. An earlier Kauffman Foundation study titled “Starting Smaller; Staying Smaller” found starting in the middle of last decade, new businesses stopped creating jobs at the rates they did in previous decades. In the 80s new businesses created 3.5% all U.S. jobs and the number of total U.S. jobs grew by 2%. But in the 2000s, new businesses created only 2.6% of all U.S. jobs and the number of total U.S. jobs grew by only .9%.
And, contra Ezra, Kauffman is not of the opinion that public policy is irrelevant to job creation. In fact, they have an entire public policy agenda that includes items like tax, immigration, and regulatory reform. I don’t agree with all of it, but I do believe those policy areas affect entrepreneurship and job creation.
Ezra goes on to conclude:
This is a tad ungenerous to the conservative position. So let me try to restate the debate fairly: Romney believes that state governments and the private sector should play a larger role in how society manages cooperative human behavior. Obama believes the opposite, that the federal government should play a larger role in how society cooperates.
Now that is a debate worth having.
