Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia is saying that if the Senate elections were somehow held today, rather than next November, Democrats would lose another seven seats and would be reduced to a 52-48 majority. One of those 52, of course, would be Independent Democrat Joe Lieberman of Connecticut.

Sabato is no partisan shill; he was quick to note how Republican fortunes were falling in the 2006 and 2008 cycles.