Just how soft is the support for President Obama’s health insurance reform plan? Yesterday’s Gallup poll of 1,000 American adults offers some clues.
The percentage of respondents who would advise their member of Congress to vote for the bill in Congress this year has reached a new low at 29 percent. Thirty-eight percent advise a “no” vote. The number who are unsure about the bill has risen over the last three Gallup surveys, from 22 percent to 33 percent. And importantly, independent voters oppose the bill, 44 to 33 percent.
When Gallup asked the uncertain respondents how they lean, they brought the final tally to 43 percent in favor of the bill, with 48 percent opposed. That’s still plurality opposition, and the support is composed in no small part nd “uncertain-leaning-yes” voters — people who are probably less likely to show up and vote next November than those firmly opposed.