It has long seemed to me, and to the much better informed Michael Ledeen, that the chances of regime change in Iran are far greater than the chances that the current mullah regime would agree to abandon its nuclear program. But the Bush administration did not do much to encourage regime change, and the Obama administration has bet heavily on the prospects of negotiation and has at times treated regime charge as affirmatively undesirable.
Their policy has had a year in which to work—and obviously hasn’t. But don’t take my word for it. The editorialists at the Washington Post now recognize that regime change is more likely than a deal. Key paragraph:
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