CBO: Obama budget may add $6.8 trillion to deficits

President Obama’s budget may add $6.8 trillion to deficits over the next decade once the economic effects of his proposals are taken into account, according to a new analysis by the Congressional Budget Office.

Last month, the CBO came out with a report projecting that Obama’s budget would add $6.4 trillion to deficits from 2013 to 2022. But now the agency has taken more time to analyze the economic effects of his proposals. What it found was that in the near term, from 2013 to 2017, Obama’s budget would likely boost the economy because he preserves most of the Bush tax cuts, which would otherwise completely expire at the end of this year. However, in the second half of the decade, CBO estimates that under Obama’s budget, the nation’s debt problem would be so severe that it would begin to harm the economy. CBO explains:

By CBO’s estimate, under the President’s proposals, the nation’s real output during the 2013–2017 period would be, on average, between 0.2 percent lower than the amount under current law and 1.4 percent higher than under current law. For the 2018–2022 period, CBO estimates that the President’s proposals would reduce real output, on average, by between 0.5 percent and 2.2 percent compared with what would occur under current law.

This, in turn, would exacerbate the debt problem. Taken together, the CBO now estimates that deficits could be as high as $6.8 trillion if Obama’s budget were adopted.

By comparison, Rep. Paul Ryan’s budget that was passed by the Republican-controlled House is projected to increase deficits by $3.1 trillion over the same time period, although the CBO has not factored in the economic effects of his proposals.

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