Today, it’s in Mississippi, The Hotline reports:
Just two weeks after his 51% primary victory, state Sen. Alan Nunnelee (R) now leads Rep. Travis Childers (D-MS) by eight points, according to a poll conducted for his campaign.
The Tarrance Group (R) poll conducted for Nunnelee, obtained by Hotline OnCall, surveyed 303 likely voters between June 8-9 for a margin of error of +/- 5.6%. Nunnelee and Childers were tested.
GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUP
Nunnelee 50% (+8 from Mar. survey)
Childers 42 (-9)
The Tarrance Group (R) poll conducted for Nunnelee, obtained by Hotline OnCall, surveyed 303 likely voters between June 8-9 for a margin of error of +/- 5.6%. Nunnelee and Childers were tested.
GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUP
Nunnelee 50% (+8 from Mar. survey)
Childers 42 (-9)
It’s Nunnelee’s poll, and it has a big margin of error, so take it with a grain of salt. Still, this would be one of the first seats to flip in a successful Republican year. An eight-point deficit for Childers in a Republican poll might translate to what, a three-point deficit? Still very bad for an incumbent holding down a recently Republican district.

