I gotta admit, I think I did pretty well predicting and explaining U.S. politics this year. I dismissed talk of a Romney collapse in the primaries. I always saw Obama as the favorite in the general. I knew Obama would outspend Romney, and he did. I predicted the Supreme Court would uphold ObamaCare, and they did.
But I wasn’t always right. And I have a New Years Eve tradition, in the interest of accountability, of writing where I think I was most wrong during the year. In 2010, I focussed on three times my predictions or assessments were proven wrong by ensuing events. In 2011, I highlighted a failure of journalistic standards and a spectacularly poor read on Rick Perry’s chances.
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