A shift in the race

Published October 14, 2024 1:40am ET



A SHIFT IN THE RACE. A few days ago, there was a report that the Harris campaign is in trouble and the Trump campaign is “extremely bullish” on former President Donald Trump’s chances to win the presidency. The reporter, former ABC News journalist Mark Halperin, said his account is based on “robust private polling” and talks with sources on both sides. “She’s in a lot of trouble,” Halperin said of Vice President Kamala Harris. “Pennsylvania is tough for her right now. … Wisconsin and Michigan are looking worse for Harris than before. … The conversations I’m having with Trump people and Democrats with data are extremely bullish on Trump’s chances in the last 48 hours. Extremely bullish.”

Not long after, Trump himself released the results of the campaign’s most recent swing-state polling. It showed Trump ahead in every state, although by small margins: up by 3 points in Arizona, by 5 in Georgia, by 1 in Michigan, by 3 in Nevada, by 1 in North Carolina, by 1 in Pennsylvania, and by 1 in Wisconsin.

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