Republicans will formally renominate President Trump this week, providing him with his best opportunity to right his presidential campaign as it heads into the fall stretch.

Without recounting all of the poll numbers, the reality is that Trump’s position at this point in the campaign is considerably worse than it was four years ago. He spent much of 2016 within a few points of Hillary Clinton in the national polls, and there were even moments in which he was tied or slightly ahead of her. In contrast, Trump has never led Joe Biden in the RealClearPolitics average of polls, and since becoming the de facto nominee, Biden’s lead has been in the comfortable 6-10 point range.