Roe v. Wade getting overturned won’t decide 2022 midterm elections

Published June 16, 2022 12:00am ET



On May 2, Politico reported on a leaked Supreme Court draft majority opinion authored by Justice Samuel Alito that would overturn the landmark Roe v. Wade decision. The news ignited tensions between pro-choice and pro-life camps beyond the usual degree. The draft was reportedly penned in February. Whether the final decision is the same as the draft remains to be seen. No matter what, the decision will color the midterm elections. The question is, to what degree?

Many people, whether they agree with Roe or not, incorrectly think if the decision gets overturned, it would automatically outlaw abortion in the United States. This is false. Abortion will continue to be legal in many states, even if the decision upends the almost 50-year precedent. Pro-life and abortion proponents will continue their campaigns. As with other issues, red and blue states will largely legislate as expected. And people can and will gravitate toward the states and regions they prefer. Federalism is indeed a good thing.

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