Showdown looming in Congress over how many F-35 fighter jets to buy

SHOWTIME FOR DEFENSE SPENDING BILLS: The House brings its $675 billion defense appropriations bill to the floor today along with 24 potential amendments. The 2019 spending bill is the next step in the annual budget process after the House and Senate passed their versions of the National Defense Authorization Act and are set to hammer out a final policy bill in conference. “The authorizations seem to be moving very, very well. This [appropriations legislation] is something this Congress could I think get done before Sept. 30 as long as the bill isn’t held hostage for other things in the appropriations process,” Rep. Tom Cole, a senior Republican on the House Rules Committee, said Tuesday evening as the committee teed up the 2019 spending legislation.

MORE F-35s: The appropriations bill provides $607 billion for the Pentagon’s base budget and $68 billion for overseas contingency operations. But it breaks with the House and Senate policy bills by upping the purchase to 93 F-35 joint strike fighters in 2019 for $9.4 billion. The House Appropriations subcommittee that wrote the bill is chaired by Rep. Kay Granger, whose Texas district includes a Lockheed Martin F-35 production facility. The House NDAA backs the military request for 77 of the high-tech fighters while the Senate policy bill authorizes 75. “Thanks to the bipartisan budget agreement we have the resources to reverse the decline in our military’s readiness while making necessary adjustments and investments to preserve our military superiority against future adversaries,” Granger said.

BORDER WARS: The Rules Committee has so far approved two dozen amendments out of the more than 130 proposed by lawmakers. It meets this afternoon at 3 to consider another package. A proposal by Rep. Martha McSally to bump up funding to re-wing the Air Force’s A-10 aircraft was among those that already made the cut and will get a floor vote. But Democrats are clearly itching for an immigration fight and have floated 15 separate proposals on the Mexico border and the military. Rep. Jim McGovern, the top Democrat on the Rules Committee, lambasted President Trump for separating immigrant children from their families at the border. “I just cannot believe this is happening in the United States. I cannot believe the insensitivity and callousness of this president and this administration,” McGovern said.

The various amendments aim to block the military from housing immigrants on bases, deploying National Guard troops to enforce immigration law, or sending DoD lawyers to assist with immigration cases. Twenty-five Democrats have signed on to a proposal that prohibits the Pentagon from fulfilling any requests from the Department of Health and Human Services to help house children detained at the border. But the chances of a vote in the Republican-controlled chamber are very slim, especially as work is ongoing on separate immigration reform.

SENATE BILL MARKUP: Meanwhile, a Senate Appropriations subcommittee will hold its markup hearing on the chamber’s bill to fund the Pentagon this morning at 10. The committee approved $607 billion in base spending and $68 billion for overseas contingency operations in May. The details of the appropriations bill are expected to be released after the markup, then the full committee and new chairman Sen. Richard Shelby are set to finish the work on Thursday.

The question is whether the legislation will hew closely to the priorities in the two versions of the National Defense Authorization Act already passed by the House and Senate. For example, both policy bills are split over purchases of littoral combat ships for the Navy, with the House pushing for three and the Senate calling for just one. Defense industry shipyards in Marinette, Wis., and Mobile, Ala., that build the LCS are warning of layoffs with less than two purchases in 2019. Shelby is from Alabama where Austal USA builds the Independence variant of the ship, and he has indicated support for more than a single buy.

Good Tuesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense.

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HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Jim Mattis has arrived in China, where it is already Tuesday night. Mattis has meetings first thing in the morning, where he says he’ll discuss “areas of mutual concern,” including areas in which the U.S and China “have common interests, and where our interests diverge.”

Mattis, who disinvited China from the Rim of the Pacific exercise says he is reviewing the military-to-military relationship with China to ensure it’s “aligned within our larger strategic framework.” Mattis says he plans to do more listening than talking. “The way to get to the other issues that are vexing is to start with strategic transparency as a way to get to operational transparency. So that would be my message,” he told reporters on his plane Sunday.

STILL WAITING: Progress toward North Korean denuclearization is expected to be a major topic of discussion between Mattis and senior Chinese leaders. The U.S. is still waiting for evidence that North Korea is taking unambiguous steps to dismantle its nuclear program, and despite rising tensions between Washington and Beijing over issues such as trade and the militarization of man-made islands in the South China Sea, the U.S. is still counting on China to maintain pressure on Pyongyang.

Last week, Kim Jong Un was in Beijing for a two-day visit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, who said China would “as always play a constructive role” in the process.

ONE SMALL STEP: Meanwhile, North Korea has canceled its annual “anti-U.S. imperialism” rally, a sign that tensions between the two nations are easing following the historic meeting this month between Trump and Kim. The July 27 rally is a national holiday that celebrates the “Victory in the Fatherland Liberation War,” and marks the start of the Korean War.

ALSO TODAY: The Senate Armed Services Committee considers the nomination of Army Lt. Gen. Stephen Lyons to be promoted to general and take over command of U.S. Transportation Command at 9:30 a.m. Live-streamed at the committee website.

THE ENDGAME IN SYRIA: “Just bear with us. There’s still hard fighting ahead,” Mattis told reporters en route to China, as he gave an upbeat assessment of the progress in wiping out the last remnants of the Islamic State in eastern Syria along its border with Iraq. “We win every time our forces go up against them. We’ve lost no terrain to them once it’s been taken.”

By “our forces,” Mattis means the Syrian Democratic Forces, backed by the U.S. and Iraqi security force on the other side of the border. The two armies linked up over the weekend along the border in Hasakah Province of Syria. “That is a significant achievement,” Mattis said. “Now that they’ve linked up, [they are] driving north and south along that border.”

BACK IN THE WEST: On the other side of the country, the Syrian army of Bashar Assad has stepped up an offensive against rebel-held regions in and around Syria’s southern city of Daraa. The BBC reports thousands of civilians have fled the city where Syria’s civil war began in March 2011.

And the Institute for the Study of War says in its latest analysis that Iran and Russia are preparing to attack the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces in eastern Syria, in a bid to “coerce the SDF to abandon its relationship with the U.S. and instead cut a deal with Assad.”

“Iran and Russia will attempt to compel the withdrawal of the U.S. from Syria by inflicting deniable costs and stoking guerilla conflicts through their proxies in Northern and Eastern Syria,” says the ISW. “The U.S. must commit to defending its partners and presence in Eastern Syria in order to prevent the resurgence of ISIS and deny key resources to Iran, Russia, and Assad,” the group urges.

“Well, we’re looking very closely at what’s going on,” Mattis said Sunday. He called Syria the “most complex security challenge anywhere,” and said while he has consulted with several allies in the region, “it’s right now in the secretary of state’s hands, to work this forward.”

A MORE “NATIONALISTIC, INTRANSIGENT’ TURKEY: In a separate analysis, the ISW also predicts the U.S. is going to find Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan even more difficult to deal with now that he has emerged from snap elections with sweeping powers that allow him to essentially rule by decree. “He can now issue presidential decrees with the force of law — a power previously available only during a state of emergency.”

“Erdogan is empowered to further consolidate his domestic power and degrade the rule of law at the expense of his political opponents. The U.S. will face a more nationalistic — and more intransigent — Turkey that is more willing to buck its alliance with NATO and expand military operations against Kurdish militants in Syria and Iraq.” Read the full analysis here.

BLISS AND GOODFELLOW: The Pentagon yesterday declined to confirm reports that it has settled on Goodfellow Air Force Base and the Army’s Fort Bliss as the two bases in Texas that will be building temporary tent cities to house immigrants illegally crossing the country’s southern border. Several news outlets identified the two bases, saying one base would house unaccompanied children while the other will host families.

Speaking to reporters on his plane, Mattis confirmed the decision has been made to proceed with the plans to build temporary camps, but declined to name the specific bases.

F-16s FOR BAHRAIN: Lockheed Martin announced yesterday it was awarded a $1.2 billion contract to build 16 new F-16 Block 70 fighters for the Royal Bahraini Air Force. Lockheed said this marks the first sale of the Block 70, the most advanced F-16.

“The F-16 Block 70 features advanced avionics, a proven Active Electronically Scanned Array radar, a modernized cockpit, advanced weapons, conformal fuel tanks, an automatic ground collision avoidance system, an advanced engine and an industry-leading extended structural service life of 12,000 hours,” according to Lockheed.

HOPES FOR AFGHANISTAN PEACE: British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is the latest to express optimism that the brief cease-fire between the Afghan government and the Taliban could be the start of something big. Johnson was in Kabul for talks with Afghanistan’s top leaders.  

“In my meetings with President Ghani and Chief Executive Abdullah, I welcomed their historic offer of unconditional talks earlier this year, and their determined recent efforts towards a political process with the Taliban,” Johnson said. “At this important moment when Afghan-led efforts towards peace and a political settlement have gained considerable impetus, I was proud and inspired to be in Kabul to see how the UK is working in support of the Afghan Government to achieve this goal.”

Mattis was more cautious when he discussed the prospects for peace with the traveling press corps. “Ghani again offered a ceasefire. They agreed to three days of it. Ghani offered an extension. They did not accept that, but it was quite interesting to see how, among Taliban and Afghans, there were people sharing the — breaking the fast meal at the end of Eid,” Mattis said. “Clearly, Ghani has hit a responsive chord that was not just on the Afghan national government side. It also cut deep into the Taliban. So we’ll see how this goes forward.”

CLAPPER ON MATTIS: Asked to comment on recent reports that Trump doesn’t rely much on the advice from Mattis anymore, former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper told CNN there could be a “tipping point” that would prompt Mattis to leave. “I think he would have a tipping point and only he knows what that is that would maybe cause him to feel that perhaps he would be less effective if he stayed on,” speculated Clapper, who is now a paid CNN contributor.  “I think if it reached the point where he himself felt that he was just ineffective and had no voice, no influence, I don’t know how long he would linger. Other cabinet members, notably [the] attorney general, [it] doesn’t seem to bother him, but I don’t know about Secretary Mattis.”

SPICER’S ‘COMMON GROUND’: Current Navy reservist and former White House press secretary Sean Spicer is reportedly working on a television interview show, tentatively titled “Sean Spicer’s Common Ground.” According to a “pitch sheet” obtained by The New York Times, Spicer would be hosting “some of the most interesting and thoughtful public figures for a drink and some lite conversation at a local pub or cafe.”

“The relaxed atmosphere is an ideal setting for Sean to get to know his guests as they discuss everything from the media to marriage,” the pitch continues. “They might even tangle over the merits of making your bed or the value of a great point guard.”

The syndication company Debmar-Mercury has confirmed a pilot episode of the series is in the works. Meanwhile, a uniformed Spicer was spotted in the halls of the Pentagon this month fulfilling his reserve duty requirement.

THE RUNDOWN

Washington Examiner: Iran: US wants us to quit the nuclear deal

Defense News: The new B-21 Raider could hit a big milestone this year

Air Force Times: Peace on the peninsula?: What the Korea summit means for airmen

USA Today: Military reinvents the wheel with new shape-shifting combat vehicle

Washington Examiner: Trump leverages Corporate America’s arsenal in quest for space dominance

Defense One: In Afghanistan, Ceasefires Could Pave a Path to Peace

Reuters: Taliban rejects pleas by Afghan elders for a ceasefire extension

Fox News: Navy pursues new long-range, stealthy and precise Mk 48 heavyweight attack torpedo

Business Insider: The Air Force has picked a base to test the military’s new long-range anti-ship missile

Task and Purpose: This Army Hero Fought Off 600 Nazis Virtually Alone. Now He’s Getting The Medal Of Honor

Army Times: Migrants ‘lucky we aren’t executing them,’ National Guardsman writes on social media

AP: Racial climate at US Coast Guard Academy faces new scrutiny

Defense News: Advanced Arresting Gear Is Coming Along

Calendar

TUESDAY | JUNE 26

7 a.m. 555 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Defense One Tech Summit 2018 with James Geurts, Assistant Secretary, Research, Development and Acquisition, and Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley, Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. defenseone.com

8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. Missile Defense in a Dangerous World: A Report with Lt. Gen. Samuel Greaves, Director of the Missile Defense Agency. mitchellaerospacepower.org

8:15 a.m. 1152 15th St. NW. More Than Burden Sharing: Five Objectives for the 2018 NATO Summit. cnas.org

9 a.m. 1177 15th St. NW. The 2018 NATO Summit and the Future of the Transatlantic Bond. atlanticcouncil.org

9:30 a.m. Dirksen G-50. Nomination Hearing for Lt. Gen. Stephen Lyons to be Commander of U.S. Transportation Command. armed-services.senate.gov

10 a.m. Dirksen 192. Subcommittee Markup of the Department of Defense Appropriations Act of 2019. appropriations.senate.gov

10 a.m. White House. Medal of Honor Ceremony for 1st Lt. Garlin Murl Conner.

10 a.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. NW. Crisis in Yemen: Accountability and Reparations. stimson.org

11 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Book Launch: “The Perfect Weapon: War, Sabotage, and Fear in the Cyber Age.” wilsoncenter.org

11:15 a.m. Senate 116. Business Hearing on Nomination of Harry Harris to be Ambassador to South Korea. foreign.senate.gov

12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Poland, NATO, and the Future of Eastern European Security. hudson.org

WEDNESDAY | JUNE 27

12 noon. Senate Visitor Center 208. Evaluating Regime Change and Its Alternatives. defensepriorities.org

12 noon. Results of Erdogan’s Snap Election Gambit: Implications for U.S.-Turkey Relations. defenddemocracy.org

12 noon. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Protecting the Financial System Against Cyber Threats: Implications for National Security. carnegieendowment.org

1:30 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. NATO and the Women, Peace and Security Agenda: A Conversation with Clare Hutchinson, NATO Secretary General’s Special Representative for Women, Peace and Security. wilsoncenter.org

2 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Russia in the Middle East: A View from Israel. wilsoncenter.org

THURSDAY | JUNE 28

8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. Six Months After the NPR- How We Doing? mitchellaerospacepower.org

8:30 a.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Army and Marine Corps Depot Policy Issues and Infrastructure Concerns with Lt. Gen. Aundre Piggee, Army Deputy Chief of Staff, and Brig. Gen. Joseph Shrader, Commanding General of Marine Corps Logistics Command. armedservices.house.gov

9:30 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Book Talk: “The Oxford Handbook of U.S. National Security.” wilsoncenter.org

10:30 a.m. Dirksen 106. Full Committee Markup of the Defense and Labor Appropriations Bills for Fiscal Year 2019. appropriations.senate.gov

3:30 p.m. 201 Waterfront St. National Association of Collegiate Directors of Athletics 53rd Annual Convention with Gen. Paul Selva, Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. nacda.com

FRIDAY | JUNE 29

10 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. National Guard Interests in the Arctic: Arctic and Extreme Cold Weather Capability with Major Gen. Laurie Hummel, the Adjutant General of the Alaska National Guard, and Major Gen. Douglas Farnham, the Adjutant General of the Maine National Guard. wilsoncenter.org

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QUOTE OF THE DAY
“The large joint combined effort sizes have been suspended, I would just say, and we’ll see if the continuing negotiations keep them that way, but right now, they’ve been suspended. … I don’t have a crystal ball. No one does.”
Defense Secretary Jim Mattis on whether the U.S. might resume “war games” if North Korea doesn’t move quickly to denuclearize.

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