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TO INFINITY AND BEYOND: President Trump used pretty unambiguous language when he announced yesterday he was ordering the Pentagon to move ahead with plans for what he called a “separate but equal” military service with the responsibility of defending America’s military interests in space. “It is not enough to merely have an American presence in space. We must have American dominance in space. So important,” Trump said at a meeting of the National Space Council at the White House. “Very importantly, I’m hereby directing the Department of Defense and Pentagon to immediately begin the process necessary to establish a Space Force as the sixth branch of the armed forces. That’s a big statement.” Creating a coequal Space Force would be the first new military service since the Air Force was split off from the Army in 1947, after World War II. DUNFORD SALUTES: Once he announced his initiative, Trump turned around to find Gen. Joseph Dunford, chairman of the Joint Chiefs, to personally and publicly order him to carry it out. “General Dunford, if you would carry that assignment out, I would be very greatly honored,” Trump said, and on the C-SPAN video Dunford can be heard to say, “We got you.” Later an official in Dunford’s office said the chairman would indeed salute smartly. “The Joint Staff will work closely with the Office of the Secretary of Defense, other DoD stakeholders and the Congress to implement the President’s guidance,” the official said. “Space is a warfighting domain, so it is vital that our military maintains its dominance and competitive advantage in that domain.” Chief Pentagon spokesperson Dana White said the Pentagon’s Defense Policy Board will begin working on this issue, including consulting Congress. “This will be a deliberate process with a great deal of input from multiple stakeholders,” she said in a statement. CAN HE DO IT? One big question is can the president unilaterally create a whole new military service by himself? Most experts think not. “No, you cannot create a new military service without congressional authorization,” said Todd Harrison, an aerospace security expert with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, “but what he can do is tell the military to start preparing for that, to start planning for it.” One senior military official told me yesterday he believes the president can create the new service, but that he will definitely need Congress to fund it. That tended to be the view on Capitol Hill. “If President Trump wants to make such a change within the military services, he should come discuss his proposal with us,” said Rep. Adam Smith, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee. Sen. Bill Nelson, who once traveled to space, has been a staunch opponent of the new service since it was proposed by House lawmakers last year. “The president told a U.S. general to create a new Space Force as 6th branch of military today, which generals tell me they don’t want,” tweeted Nelson, a senior member of the Senate Armed Services Committee. “Thankfully, the president can’t do it without Congress because now is NOT the time to rip the Air Force apart. Too many important missions at stake.” WHO KNEW? Once again the president appeared to act impulsively and without much consultation with his senior advisers. Officials at the Pentagon were noticeably mum yesterday when asked if they were surprised by the directive, which seemed to come as a bolt from the blue. The House and Senate Armed Services Committees were not notified ahead of time, aides in both chambers said. Just seven months ago, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis argued that the creation of a separate “Space Corps” was premature. “I oppose creation of a new military service and additional organizational layers at a time when we are focused on reducing overhead and integrating joint warfighting functions,” Mattis wrote in his so-called “heartburn” letter to Congress in October. FORCE VS CORPS: At the direction of Congress, the Pentagon was already studying the idea of a “Space Corps,” which would be under the Air Force Department, the same way the Marine Corps has its own four-star member of the Joint Chiefs, but is still under the Department of the Navy. But by calling for a “Space Force” that’s “separate but equal,” Trump appears to want a completely independent service. WHAT’S THIS GOING TO COST? “It doesn’t have to be massively expensive, because we already have space forces, they aren’t just aligned under an independent service,” Harrison told me yesterday, noting there is already Air Force Space Command. “So really you would be taking personnel and infrastructure that already exist and just reorganizing it under a new chain of command. So depending on how they structure it, you would have another member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the accouterments that go with that. But still you add up the salary of all those people and it’s chump change.” STARFLEET ACADEMY? And no, Harrison says, “If you create a new service, you don’t have to have a service academy to go with it.” JUST WHAT DID THE PRESIDENT SIGN? At the conclusion of his remarks yesterday, Trump sat down to sign Space Policy Directive-3, which seeks to improve the tracking of space junk and limit future debris, something experts say is easier said than done. He held up a two-page version with his trademark bold signature. The nine-page document posted on the White House website makes no mention of the Space Force that Trump highlighted in his remarks. Instead, the directive orders the Commerce Department to create a public database of space objects, a vision first outlined in April by Vice President Mike Pence. Good Tuesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense. |
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HAPPENING TODAY: MILLER CONFIRMATION HEARING: The Senate Armed Services Committee holds a confirmation hearing at 9:30 this morning for the general tapped to head up Trump’s strategy in Afghanistan. Lt. Gen. Scott Miller, who heads U.S. Joint Special Operations Command at Fort Bragg, N.C., is poised to be promoted and take over the NATO-led Resolute Support mission from Gen. John Nicholson. Streamed live on the committee website. SENATE PASSES NDAA: The Senate passed its 2019 National Defense Authorization Act on Monday that includes $716 billion in Pentagon spending authorizations. “We’re making needed investments in training, maintenance and modernization — restoring our qualitative and quantitative advantage around the world. We know that right now, America doesn’t have the best of everything,” said Sen. Jim Inhofe, the senior Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee who shepherded the bill. “We’re addressing that by catching up where we are falling behind — artillery, hypersonics, nuclear triad — and maintaining our superiority in areas where China and Russia are trying to gain on us.” TRUMP’S ZTE DEAL: In a rare rebuke of Trump, the bill also contains a measure that would scuttle his effort to revive Chinese telecom company ZTE. The White House had opposed the Senate bill amendment restoring penalties on the company imposed after it violated sanctions on Iran and North Korea. The bill now threatens a deal announced by Trump to ease a prohibition on ZTE purchasing U.S. products while requiring it to pay a $1.4 billion fine and overhauling its management team. A bipartisan group of lawmakers, including Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Sens. Tom Cotton and Chris Van Hollen, who see the company as a national security threat, successfully added it to the must-pass legislation last week. WHAT’S NEXT: The Senate’s version of the NDAA passed 85-10 and now must be reconciled in conference committee with the House, which passed its version in May. Rep. Mac Thornberry, the House Armed Services chairman, said he hopes the two chambers can strike a final compromise bill by the end of July. The negotiations could lead to changes in the ZTE provision, which is not included in the House legislation, and other initiatives could shift in a final bill. Here are a few issues that House and Senate lawmakers will have to hammer out:
PROCEEDING WITH CAUTION: In a very carefully worded statement yesterday, the Pentagon announced it would be complying with Trump’s wishes to end a major joint military exercise between the U.S. and South Korea as a goodwill gesture to North Korea. Here’s the full statement, along with a translation. “Consistent with President Trump’s commitment and in concert with our Republic of Korea ally, the United States military has suspended all planning for this August’s defensive “wargame” (Freedom Guardian).” Notable here is that the Pentagon says it has “suspended planning,” not canceled the exercise. Presumably, that leaves open the possibility the U.S. could resume planning if North Korea breaks any of its commitments. It’s also notable the Pentagon has adopted Trump’s description of the exercise as a “wargame,” but put the president’s term in quotes. “We are still coordinating additional actions. No decisions on subsequent wargames have been made.” This shows the Pentagon is not willing to declare all future exercises will be canceled, and is taking it one “war game” at a time. “There will be a meeting at the Pentagon later this week with the Secretary of Defense, Secretary of State and the National Security Advisor on this issue.” This is another sign that as far as Defense Secretary Jim Mattis is concerned, questions about the size and scale of future exercises are not yet resolved. “There is no impact on Pacific exercises outside of the Korean Peninsula.” Here the Pentagon is laying down a marker that it will continue exercises such as the Rim of the Pacific, or RIMPAC, a huge maritime warfare exercise that involves 26 countries and more than 25,000 people and is scheduled to run June 27 to Aug. 2, in and around the Hawaiian Islands and Southern California. DUNFORD ON EXERCISES: When I traveled with Dunford to NATO headquarters last month, I asked him specifically about the value of the joint exercises with the South, and whether they could be conducted in a way that was less provocative. “These exercises are not designed towards North Korea. They are not designed to be provocative. They are designed to maintain a high level of readiness,” he said on the plane ride back to Washington. “These exercises are critical to maintaining a high level of readiness. We don’t know what’s going to happen tomorrow. There is an expression on the Korean Peninsula, ‘fight tonight,’ and that’s what the forces are expected to be able to do.” KIM IN CHINA: North Korea’s Kim Jong Un is back in Beijing today, meeting with Chinese officials. Kim appeared to travel by plane instead of his armored train, an indication he’s getting more comfortable with conventional means of travel outside his hermit kingdom. ALTERING THE ARMISTICE: Meanwhile Secretary of State Mike Pompeo revealed yesterday that Trump agreed to “alter the armistice agreement” between North and South Korea in exchange for Kim’s promise to denuclearize. “[Kim] has made very clear his commitment to fully denuclearize his country. That’s everything, right? It’s not just the weapons systems, it’s everything,” Pompeo said during a question-and-answer session at the Detroit Economic Club. “In return for that, the president has committed to making sure that we alter the armistice agreement, provide the security assurances that Chairman Kim needs.” FAILURE TO DISCLOSE: Korea Aerospace Industries, a South Korean aviation firm, failed to disclose the indictment of nine current and former executives on corruption charges two weeks before the firm won a contract worth up to $48 million from the U.S. Air Force, according to the Washington Post. The business, whose executives were being investigated on charges of embezzlement, bribery, and defrauding the South Korean government, had retained Michael Cohen, Trump’s personal lawyer, as a consultant, according to the Post. Cohen’s firm received $150,000 from Korea Aerospace Industries, but there was no evidence he was involved in the Air Force contract, the Post reported; the company said he wasn’t. THE NEW ‘COLD’ WAR: Members of Congress and outside experts say the U.S. has taken its eye off the ball in the Arctic, where rapidly shrinking and thinning ice has opened a strategic competition between the U.S. Russia and China and sparked a race for dominance in an area estimated to hold 13 percent of the world’s undiscovered oil and 30 percent of its undiscovered gas. “Our rivals are paying close attention to the changing Arctic, even if we are not,” said David Titley, a professor of meteorology and international affairs at Pennsylvania State University. “The Russians are actively monetizing their northern sea route and rebuilding their Arctic military capabilities,” Titley told Congress, while “China declares itself to be a near-Arctic state and intends to jointly build a Polar Silk Road as a northern flank in its Belt and Road Initiative.” Read more in this week’s Washington Examiner magazine. THE RUNDOWN Daily Beast: Forget Nukes. Will Kim Jong Un Pull Back His Big Guns? Military.com: No Movement Yet On North Korea’s Promise To Return US Troop Remains Defense News: Strict export regulations may be costing US industry billions in foreign sales Army Times: US-led coalition destroys Islamic State narcotics cache — including 300,000 so-called ‘Jihadi pills’ Washington Times: U.S. Walks Fine Line With Kurdish Allies By Joining Turkish Forces On Patrol In Syria Foreign Policy: I Fought Against Muqtada al-Sadr. Now He’s Iraq’s Best Hope. Task and Purpose: Army’s ‘Commie Cadet’ Disciplined; Masses Fail To Rise Up New York Times: Israel Charges a Former Minister With Spying for Iran South China Morning Post: China Adds To Nuclear Arsenal Amid Military Modernisation Drive Stars and Stripes: Russian Bunkers Near Poland Could Be Storing Nuclear Weapons, Report Says |
CalendarTUESDAY | JUNE 19 6:45 a.m. 1250 South Hayes St. Special Topic Breakfast with Vice Adm. William Merz, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Warfare Systems. navyleague.org 7 a.m. 1919 Connecticut Ave. NW. 2018 Defense Communities National Summit with John Gibson, Chief Management Officer for the Department of Defense. Adcsummit.org 8 a.m. 1825 Connecticut Ave. NW. Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Research, Development and Acquisition) James Geurts provides keynote remarks at the American Society of Naval Engineers Technology, Systems and Ships 2018 conference, FHI 360 Conference Center 9:30 a.m. Dirksen G-50. Nomination Hearing for Lt. Gen. Austin Miller to be Commander, Resolute Support Mission, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, and Commander of U.S. Forces-Afghanistan. armed-services.senate.gov 9:30 a.m. 1501 Lee Hwy. Mitchell Hour Policy Paper Release of Data Requirements and Rights: Time for a Reassessment. mitchellaerospacepower.org 10 a.m. Ground Truth Brief via Phone: Yemen: Can Things Get Any Worse? Wilsoncenter.org 11 a.m. Pentagon Briefing Room. Army Col. Sean Ryan, spokesman, Combined Joint Task Force-Operation Inherent Resolve briefs the media by video to provide an update on operations in Iraq and Syria. Streamed live on www.defense.gov/live. 11:30 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Restoring Restraint: Enforcing Accountability for Users of Chemical Weapons. csis.org 12:30 p.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. Chinese Activities in the Arctic: The Regional Perceptions. stimson.org WEDNESDAY | JUNE 20 7 a.m. 1919 Connecticut Ave. NW. 2018 Defense Communities National Summit. adcsummit.org 9 a.m. Russia the 21st Century Disrupter in Europe: A Bipartisan Congressional Dialogue with Rep. Francis Rooney and Rep. Bill Keating. usip.org 10 a.m. Hart 216. Open Hearing: Policy Response to Russian Interference in the 2016 U. S. Elections. intelligence.senate.gov 10 a.m. Rayburn 2172. Full Committee Hearing on U.S. Policy Toward Afghanistan with Alice Wells, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary. foreignaffairs.house.gov 11 a.m. 46870 Tate Rd. NDIA Patuxent River Speaker Series with Rear Adm. Mark Darrah, NAVAIR Program Executive Officer for Unmanned Aviation and Strike Weapons. ndia.org 12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Driving NATO’s Military Transformation Agenda Forward with Adm. Manfred Nielson, Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Transformation at NATO. hudson.org 12:15 p.m. 740 15th St. NW. Lawless Skies: Airstrikes and Civilian Casualties in Libya. newamerica.org 1 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. The Middle East: A Region in Chaos? wilsoncenter.org 1:30 p.m. 1135 16th St. NW. A Discussion of National Security Issues During the Carter Years with Stuart Eizenstat, Former Ambassador to the European Union and White House Domestic Policy Adviser. americanbar.org 2 p.m. Rayburn 2172. Subcommittee Hearing on the Trump-Kim Summit: Outcomes and Oversight. foreignaffairs.house.gov 3 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Chinese Influence Operations in the Democratic World. hudson.org 3:30 p.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Military Health System Reform: Pain Management, Opioids Prescription Management and Reporting Transparency with Vice Adm. Raquel Bono, Director of the Defense Health Agency, and Capt. Mike Colston, Director of Mental Health Policy and Oversight at the Department of Defense. armedservices.house.gov THURSDAY | JUNE 21 8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. The Nuclear Deterrent Breakfast Series on Space, Missile Defense and Nuclear Deterrence: Goals and Challenges with Rep. Mike Rogers. mitchellaerospacepower.org 9:30 a.m. 1919 Connecticut Ave. NW. CNAS 2018 Annual Conference: Strategic Competition with Sens. Lindsey Graham and Elizabeth Warren, and Gen. Paul Selva, Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. cnas.org 10 a.m. Rayburn 2118. Military Technology Transfer: Threats, Impacts, and Solutions for the Department of Defense with Michael Griffin, Undersecretary of Defense for Research and Engineering; Kari Bingen, Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence; Kevin Fahey, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition; and Anthony Schinella, National Intelligence Officer for Military Issues. armedservices.house.gov 11:30 a.m. 1667 K St. NW. CSBA Panel Discussion: Countering Comprehensive Coercion. csbaonline.org 12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Stabilization and Reconstruction in Syria: A Conversation with Archimandrite Alexi Chehadeh. hudson.org 2 p.m. Rayburn 2172. Subcommittee Hearing on Russian and Chinese Nuclear Arsenals: Posture, Proliferation, and the Future of Arms Control. foreignaffairs.house.gov 2 p.m. 740 15th St. NW. Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances. newamerica.org 3:30 p.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Aviation Mishap Prevention—a Progress Report with Lt. Gen. Mark Nowland, Air Force Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations; Rear Adm. Roy Kelley, Commander of Naval Air Force Atlantic; Lt. Gen. Steven Rudder, Marine Corps Deputy Commandant for Aviation; and Major Gen. William Gayler, Commanding General of Army Aviation Center of Excellence. armedservices.house.gov FRIDAY | JUNE 22 9 a.m. Rayburn 2118. Subcommittee Hearing on Space Situational Awareness: Whole of Government Perspectives on Roles and Responsibilities with Wilbur Ross, Secretary of Commerce; Jim Bridenstine, NASA Administrator; and Gen. John Hyten, Commander of U.S. Strategic Command. armedservices.house.gov 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Book Discussion of “Asian Waters: The Struggle Over the South China Sea and the Strategy of Chinese Expansion” with Author Humphrey Hawksley. csis.org MONDAY | JUNE 25 10:30 a.m. 1501 Lee Hwy. Mitchell Hour Air Force Rapid Capabilities Office Brief and Discussion with Randy Walden, Director and Program Executive Officer, Air Force Rapid Capabilities Office. mitchellaerospacepower.org 11 a.m. 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW. The Clash of Generations? Intergenerational Change and American Foreign Policy Views. cato.org TUESDAY | JUNE 26 7 a.m. 555 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Defense One Tech Summit 2018 with James Geurts, Assistant Secretary, Research, Development and Acquisition, and Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley, Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. defenseone.com 8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. Missile Defense in a Dangerous World: A Report with Lt. Gen. Samuel Greaves, Director of the Missile Defense Agency. mitchellaerospacepower.org 10 a.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. NW. Crisis in Yemen: Accountability and Reparations. stimson.org 11 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Book Launch: “The Perfect Weapon: War, Sabotage, and Fear in the Cyber Age.” wilsoncenter.org 12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Poland, NATO, and the Future of Eastern European Security. hudson.org
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