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INTER-KOREA SUMMIT DAY: With the 13-hour time difference between Washington and Seoul, the historic summit between South Korea’s Moon Jae-in and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un will happen late tonight East Coast time. The highly-choreographed meeting will be rich in symbolism as Kim will step across the military demarcation line between the two Koreas, the first North Korean leader to do so, and along with Moon plant a pine tree before getting to work. Hopes are high for some kind of substantive agreement to be signed by the two leaders, but South Korea’s Blue House is not saying exactly what could be achieved. CREDITING TRUMP: It was just four months ago that Kim and President Trump were trading bellicose rhetoric about the relative size of their nuclear buttons. Then came the overtures from Moon and his invitation for North Korea to take part in the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics. From there things moved fast. “I feel somebody stepped on the accelerator at the beginning of the year,” said South Korean Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha in an interview with CNN. “Clearly, you know, credit goes to President Trump. He has been determined to come to grips with this from day one.” AN EASY CONCESSION: There may be a little more to Kim’s offer to freeze his nuclear program in advance of the talks, a gesture that drew praise from Trump, who called it “big progress!” Turns out the North’s nuclear Punggye-ri test site under Mount Mantap in the northwest part of the country has collapsed, with China and other nearby nations at risk of radioactive exposure, the South China Morning Post reported. The website 38 North, which has been monitoring activity at Punggye-ri by reviewing commercial satellite imagery, says it’s not clear if the entire site is no longer usable, but noted some unusual activity. “Most notably, approximately one dozen mining carts — at least eight connected in a long train — could be observed in an unusual arrangement on the spoil pile in the area closest to the West Portal.” You can see pictures of the test site here, and read the rest of 38 North’s analysis. US, ROK TAKE AN EXERCISE BREAK: Out of respect for the budding peace process, the U.S. and South Korean militaries have announced a short pause in a military exercise known as Key Resolve, according to the South Korean Yonhap News Agency. “The South Korean and U.S. military authorities have decided to conduct the first part of the 2018 KR through Thursday, jointly concluding that the intended goals of the exercise have been attained,” said a statement from the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff. Key Resolve is a two-week long “command post” exercise that’s mostly done on computers and doesn’t involve any big troop movement or maneuvers. The second part of the drill will resume after the summit. WILL HE OR WON’T HE? Trump likes to keep people guessing. In his Tuesday news conference with French President Emmanuel Macron, he hinted that Macron has “a pretty good idea” of whether he would pull the plug on the Iran nuclear deal by the May 12 deadline. But yesterday Macron said he is as much in the dark as anyone. “I have no inside information on what Trump might be deciding for the Iranian nuclear deal,” Macron said during a town hall with students at George Washington University. But Macron said his money is on Trump pulling out. “Just like you do, I listen to what president Trump is saying, and it seems to me he is not eager to defend it,” he said. “My view — I don’t know what your president will decide — is that he will get rid of this deal on his own, for domestic reasons.” ‘WE SIGNED IT’: In his address to a joint meeting of Congress yesterday, Macron reiterated that France will not withdraw from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, but acknowledged the agreement is flawed and said he wants to work on “a more comprehensive deal” with the United States to control Iran’s nuclear ambitions and sponsorship of terrorism. “We signed it at the initiative of the United States. We signed it, both the United States and France. That is why we cannot say we should get rid of it like that,” Macron said, to applause. “But it is true to say that this agreement may not address all concerns and very important concerns. This is true. But we should not abandon it without having something substantial and more substantial instead. That’s my position.” MACRON-MERKEL TAG TEAM: But it’s not over yet. As Macron departs, German Chancellor Angela Merkel arrives tomorrow to try to continue the lobby effort to keep the deal. “The most important call Macron will make on his flight back to Paris will be to Merkel. He will relay what issues President Trump is most exercised about, what arguments got the most traction, what frame of mind she will find him in, and what deal they can broker,” write Karen Donfried and Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff of the German Marshall Fund. Merkel has another mission: Tariff relief. She will be presenting arguments on behalf of the European Union that Trump should exempt the EU permanently from the steel and aluminum tariffs, which Trump has suspended only until May 1. ON THE OTHER HAND: Defense Secretary Jim Mattis will likely hear a much harder line on Iran when he meets with Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman at the Pentagon at 1:45 this afternoon. Also on the agenda will be Syria, where Israel has taken unilateral military action, and where both countries are concerned about Iranian influence as U.S. troops begin to plan for eventual withdrawal. POMPEO HAS THE VOTES: If all goes as expected, by the end the day Trump will see his pick for secretary of state confirmed by the Senate. The vote on the nomination of CIA Director Mike Pompeo is set for midday. Pompeo has picked up enough pledges of support from Democrats that his confirmation now seems a certainty. Independent Angus King of Maine is the latest to say he’ll vote for Pompeo, joining Democrats Doug Jones, Heidi Heitkamp, Joe Manchin and Joe Donnelly. Good Thursday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense. |
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HAPPENING TODAY: MATTIS AND DUNFORD TESTIFY: After closed budget testimony Wednesday to senators, Mattis and Gen. Joseph Dunford, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, will sit down in front of the cameras at 9:30 a.m. for public testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee. It could be among the last of the committee’s hearings before it does its annual defense budget markup this month. FIRST QUARTER EARNINGS: Major defense contractors are releasing their quarterly earnings this week. A major defense spending increase, combined with higher profitability from commercial airplanes, helped Boeing boost its full-year earnings target 3.6 percent to $14.50 a share on Wednesday. The company easily surpassed projections on its earnings per share and is building airplanes at a record pace, CNBC reported. Leaders said the company’s outlook for the rest of the year has improved, due mostly to cost controls, according to CNN. Meanwhile, Northrop Grumman and General Dynamics also beat earnings estimates, Investor’s Business Daily reported. But Northrop declined to bid on the Air Force’s next GPS 3 satellites, and neither it nor General Dynamics are being rewarded by investors. Raytheon is set to release its first quarter earnings this morning. HOUSE BUMPS UP LCS BUY: After an outcry from lawmakers and shipyards, House Armed Services unveiled a 2019 defense budget proposal Wednesday that calls for the purchase of three littoral combat ships. The subcommittee proposal marks a major increase over the Navy’s plans to buy a single ship and will be rolled into the annual National Defense Authorization Act. It’s also a signal that Congress will follow analysts’ predictions and keep production humming next year at the shipyards in Wisconsin and Alabama that build the LCS. Lawmakers from Wisconsin and Michigan, including House Speaker Paul Ryan, wrote a letter last week to Navy Secretary Richard V. Spencer warning a single LCS purchase could cause “irreversible harm” to a shipyard in the region. “Put simply, one LCS in Fiscal Year 19 will result in shipyard layoffs. And that’s a highly-skilled workforce that can’t simply be spun back up,” Sen. Tammy Baldwin told Spencer during a Senate hearing this week. The Freedom-class variant of the ship is built at the Marinette Marine shipyard in Wisconsin by Lockheed Martin, and the trimaran Independence-class variant is built in Mobile, Ala., by Austal USA. “We will watch everything we can do to make sure that the workers — that the skilled workers we have do have work. While I say that, we are not in it for corporate welfare, to be very frank with you, and everybody has to get onboard with the program, both the suppliers and the Department of Defense. And we will work forward and earnest to attain that goal,” Spencer told Baldwin. HASC MARKUPS: The three littoral combat ships were part of the NDAA proposals released Wednesday by six House Armed Services subcommittees. It is the next step in writing the massive annual policy bill. The committees released their markup bills and are slated to hold votes throughout the day today. Once the markup bills are passed out of committee, they will be compiled to form the foundation of the so-called “chairman’s mark” version of the NDAA, which will be debated and amended by the full committee in two weeks. Here is a rundown of what is in the House Armed Services subcommittee markup bills: Seapower:
Military Personnel:
Strategic Forces:
Tactical Air and Land:
Emerging Threats:
Readiness:
BIG MISTAKES IN NIGER: A classified Pentagon report argues poor training, complacency, and a culture of excessive risk were factors in the deaths of four U.S. soldiers in Niger last fall, according to the Wall Street Journal. Officials familiar with the findings of the investigation described multiple errors and negligence of military procedures and of the chain of command. For example, the 6,000-page report said at least one officer copied and pasted orders for a separate mission into the concept of operations for the October mission that ultimately resulted in the four deaths. Nevertheless, the Journal reports the investigation does not recommend punishment for anyone. ALLEGATIONS PILE UP FOR JACKSON: Rear Adm. Ronny Jackson, the longtime White House physician nominated to be the secretary of Veterans Affairs, prescribed “a large supply” of Percocet to a White House military office staffer, according to a summary of concerns compiled by the Democratic members of the Senate Veterans’ Affairs Committee. The two-page document summarizes three groups of accusations: prescription practices, hostile work environment, and drunkenness. The summary references conversations with 23 current and former colleagues of Jackson’s. CIRCLING THE DRAIN? Last night the Washington Post, quoting “two White House officials with knowledge of his deliberations,” reported Jackson has grown frustrated and has told colleagues he may remove his name from consideration. THE RUNDOWN Reuters: Understanding Kim: Inside the U.S. effort to profile the secretive North Korean leader Defense One: Thornberry Is Getting Rolled by the Services Bloomberg: Pentagon Classifies Study of F-35 Jet’s Challenges in Pacific AFP: A look at Kim Il Sung’s old holiday home Breaking Defense: Pentagon-Run AI Center Coming, Hypersonics Work in Progress Defense News: These two drones are leaders in accident rates. How is the US Army responding? Defense News: Air Force to start transforming tankers into WC-135 ‘nuke sniffers’ in FY19 Foreign Policy: China’s New Aircraft Carrier Is Already Obsolete Military Times: Senator questions pay, benefits status for Guardsmen serving on southern U.S. border New York Times: Closing of Philippine Tourist Hub Stirs Fears of Military Takeover Task and Purpose: 3 Reasons The B-52 Bomber Will Outlive All Of Us The Hill: House subpanel continues space reforms after Trump ‘Space Force’ comments Defense Tech: Russia May Gift S-300 Anti-Air Missiles to Syria to Beef Up Defenses New York Times: A Comic Strip About the Marines: The Few, the Proud, the Bored Out of Their Minds |
CalendarTHURSDAY | APRIL 26 9 a.m. Rayburn 2212. House Armed Services Markup of H.R. 5515 – National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 – Subcommittee on Readiness. 9 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW. 21st Century Security Forum: The National Defense Strategy and its global impact with Gen. Robert Neller, Commandant of the Marine Corps. brookings.edu 9:30 a.m. Hart 216. Hearing on the Department of Defense Budget Posture with Secretary Jim Mattis; Gen. Joseph Dunford, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff; and DOD Comptroller David Norquist. armed-services.senate.gov 10 a.m. Dirksen 192. Hearing to Review the Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Request for the Defense Health Program with Lt. Gen. Nadja West, the Army Surgeon General, and Vice Adm. C. Forrest Faison, the Navy Surgeon General. appropriations.senate.gov 10 a.m. Rayburn 2118. House Armed Services Markup of H.R. 5515 – National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 – Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities. 10 a.m. Rayburn 2172. Markup of Department of State Authorization Act of 2018. foreignaffairs.house.gov 10:30 a.m. Dirksen 138. Hearing to Review the Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Request for Military Construction and Family Housing with Lucian Niemeyer, Assistant Secretary Of Defense, and Lt. Gen. Gwendolyn Bingham, Army Assistant Chief of Staff. appropriations.senate.gov 11 a.m. Rayburn 2212. House Armed Services Markup of H.R. 5515 – National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 – Subcommittee on Military Personnel. 12 noon. 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Risky Business: The Role of Arms Sales in U.S. Foreign Policy. cato.org 12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Iran’s Entrenched Footprint in Iraq and Syria. hudson.org 12:30 p.m. Rayburn 2118. House Armed Services Markup of H.R. 5515 – National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 – Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces. 1:30 p.m. Rayburn 2212. House Armed Services Markup of H.R. 5515 – National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 – Subcommittee on Seapower and Projection Forces. 2 p.m. Rayburn 2172. Joint Subcommittee Hearing on Grading Counterterrorism Cooperation with the GCC States. foreignaffairs.house.gov 3 p.m. Rayburn 2118. House Armed Services Markup of H.R. 5515 – National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019 – Subcommittee on Strategic Forces. 3:30 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Iran: As Anti-Government Protests Continue, Can the U.S. Help Maintain Momentum? hudson.org 5 p.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Investing in Iraq: Reconstruction and the Role of the Energy Sector with Fareed Yasseen, Iraqi Ambassador to the United States. atlanticcouncil.org FRIDAY | APRIL 27 8 a.m. 300 First Street SE. The Nuclear Deterrent Breakfast Series: Connecting Arms Control to Strategic Deterrent Requirements. mitchellaerospacepower.org 9 a.m. 1030 15th Street NW. Private Sector Investments in Afghanistan. atlanticcouncil.org 10 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Maritime Security in the Polar Regions: Legal Perspectives from the United States and China. wilsoncenter.org 2 p.m. 1740 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies Diversity in the U.S. Military and the Contributions of the Sikh-American Community. MONDAY | APRIL 30 11:30 a.m. 1667 K St. NW. Book Talk on “Silent Invasion” by Clive Hamilton. csbaonline.org 12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Space 2.0: U.S. Competitiveness and Policy in the New Space Era. hudson.org 1 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Book Talk on “Losing Hearts and Minds: American-Iranian Relations and International Education during the Cold War” with author Matthew Shannon. csis.org 2 p.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. An Assessment of the Inter-Korea Summit: Views from South Korea, U.S. and China. stimson.org TUESDAY | MAY 1 8 a.m. 300 First Street SE. The Nuclear Deterrent Breakfast Series: The GBSD and B-21/LRSO: Nuclear Deterrent Futures Lt. Gen. Jack Weinstein, Deputy Chief of Staff. mitchellaerospacepower.org 9 a.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Denuclearizing North Korea: Practicalities and Politics. carnegieendowment.org 10 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Army Vision and Modernization Priorities with Secretary Mark Esper. atlanticcouncil.org 12:15 p.m. 740 15th St. NW. Iraq After ISIS: What to Do Now. newamerica.org WEDNESDAY | MAY 2 6:30 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. Institute of Land Warfare Breakfast Series with Lt. Gen. Timothy Kadavy, Director of the Army National Guard. ausa.org 7:30 a.m. 2300 Dulles Corner Blvd. 2018 Spring IPM Division Meeting. ndia.org 8 a.m. 300 First Street SE. The Nuclear Deterrent Breakfast Series: The NPR Challenges with Dave Trachtenberg, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. mitchellaerospacepower.org 9 a.m. 1401 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Fifth Annual Security Forum on the U.S.-Japan Alliance: Deepening Ties While Confronting New Challenges. spfusa.org 4 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave NW. Annual Meeting of the U.S. Naval Institute with Adm. John Richardson, Chief of Naval Operations. usni.org THURSDAY | MAY 3 8 a.m. 300 First Street SE. The Nuclear Deterrent Breakfast Series: The Emerging Strategic Environment. mitchellaerospacepower.org 8 a.m. 1667 K St. NW. Workshop: Comparing Defense Innovation in Advanced and Catch-up Countries. csbaonline.org 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Japan’s Security Strategy: A Political Update from Nagata-cho. csis.org 4 p.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Cyber Risk Thursday: Building a Defensible Cyberspace. atlanticcouncil.org |
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