‘MAYBE HE DID, MAYBE HE DIDN’T’: Calling Saudi Arabia “a great ally in our very important fight against Iran,” President Trump declared yesterday that the evidence was insufficient to blame the murder of Washington Post contributor Jamal Khashoggi on the highest levels of the Saudi government. “King Salman and Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman vigorously deny any knowledge of the planning or execution of the murder of Mr. Khashoggi,” Trump said in a statement laden with exclamation points. “Our intelligence agencies continue to assess all information, but it could very well be that the Crown Prince had knowledge of this tragic event – maybe he did and maybe he didn’t!” In the statement, Trump also noted that Saudi Arabia had labeled Khashoggi “enemy of the state” and a member of the Muslim Brotherhood, but said, “my decision is in no way based on that.” Later, speaking on the White House lawn, Trump denied the CIA had concluded that the crown prince personally ordered Khashoggi death. “Like I said, ‘Maybe he did, maybe he didn’t.’ They did not make that assessment. The CIA has looked at it. They’ve studied it a lot. They have nothing definitive.” Instead, Trump said his decision to give the Saudis a pass was motivated by the desire to continue U.S. arms sales and cheap oil. “It’s all about “America First. We’re not going to give up hundreds of billions of dollars in orders, and let Russia, China, and everybody else have them,” Trump said. “Saudi Arabia — if we broke with them, I think your oil prices would go through the roof. I’ve kept them down. They’ve helped me keep them down. Right now, we have low oil prices, or relatively. I’d like to see it go down even lower — lower.” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, meanwhile, told reporters the U.S. must do business with Saudi Arabia even though in his words “it’s a mean, nasty world out there.” “The United States will continue to have a relationship with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. They are an important partner of ours. We will do that with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, its people. That is the commitment that the president made today. It’s that straightforward,” Pompeo said. CUE THE OUTRAGE: The denunciations of Trump’s transactional doctrine were swift, bipartisan, and heavy on moral outrage. “I fully realize we have to deal with bad actors and imperfect situations on the international stage. However, when we lose our moral voice, we lose our strongest asset.” Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C. “The president’s and secretary of state’s Khashoggi statements to date are inconsistent with an enduring foreign policy, with our national interest, with basic human rights, and with American greatness.” Sen.-elect Mitt Romney, R-Utah “We’re in danger of seeing our moral standing in the world eroded … The world scratches its head and wonders what is becoming of America?” Ohio Gov. John Kasich, R “I never thought I’d see the day a White House would moonlight as a public relations firm for the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia.” tweeted Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn. “This White House statement is a stunning window into President Trump’s autocratic tendencies, his limited grasp of world affairs, and his weakness on the world stage. It is shocking to see President Trump continue to act as an accomplice to a clear cover-up by Saudi leadership,” Sen. Jack Reed, ranking Democrat on the Armed Services Committee. “President Trump’s habit of siding with murderous foreign dictators over American intelligence professionals is a stain on our democracy that undermines the American ideal,” Sen. Jeanne Shaheen D-N.H. “I’m pretty sure this statement is Saudi Arabia First, not America First. I’m also pretty sure John Bolton wrote it,” tweeted Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. SANCTIONS COMING: Members of Congress immediately began talking about imposing tough sanctions on the Saudi regime to mete out the punishment that Trump was unwilling to impose. “I firmly believe there will be strong bipartisan support for serious sanctions against Saudi Arabia, including appropriate members of the royal family, for this barbaric act which defied all civilized norms,” said Sen. Graham in his statement. Sen. Shaheen, who already introduced a sanctions bill last week, said: “Congress must now stand up with bipartisan resolve to condemn the brutal slaying of Jamal Khashoggi and pass legislation to respond to this and other Saudi crimes.” “I will continue to press for legislation to stop the Saudi arms sales and the war in Yemen” tweeted Rand Paul, while Sen.-elect Romney said, “Sanctions do not necessarily require ending the alliance; they do demand real and painful consequence.” “I plan to vote against any future arms sales and appropriation to Saudi Arabia,” said Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif. “I also believe that the United States should consider sanctions against the crown prince and that the Saudi ambassador to the United States should not be allowed to continue in that role.” Trump’s response: “I understand there are members of Congress who, for political or other reasons, would like to go in a different direction – and they are free to do so,” he said in his official statement. “I will consider whatever ideas are presented to me, but only if they are consistent with the absolute security and safety of America.” CUTTING THROUGH THE HYPE: Trump’s touting of the jobs and monetary value of the U.S. relationship with the Saudis is also being subjected to a high degree of skepticism. Trump claimed, “Of the $450 billion, $110 billion will be spent on the purchase of military equipment from Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, and many other great U.S. defense contractors.” But a new report by William Hartung at the left-leaning Center for International Policy argues Trump has “wildly exaggerated” the benefits. The $110 billion deal is a “mixture of orders approved during the Obama administration, a few new offers, and tens of billions in speculative deals. Actual deals implemented since President Trump took office total just $14.5 billion,” Hartung writes. The Washington Examiner has also looked into the arms deals and found the president’s figures are mostly aspirational for sales that could occur over the coming decade. As for U.S. jobs, Trump has claimed 400,000 or more will be created by Saudi spending, but the number is probably in the tens of thousands. “Actual, paid-for deliveries of U.S.-produced arms for Saudi Arabia have averaged about $2.5 billion per year over the past decade, enough to support at most 20,000 to 40,000 jobs, some of which are located overseas,” according to the analysis. TAKING IT PERSONALLY: For the Washington Post, which considered Jamal Khashoggi one its own, the outrage meter rose to highest scale. “Mr. Trump has betrayed American values in service to what already was a bad bet on the 33-year-old prince,” the paper said in an editorial. “Mr. Trump sidestepped a CIA finding that the crown prince was behind the killing; casually slandered Mr. Khashoggi, who was one of the Arab world’s most distinguished journalists; and repeated gross falsehoods and exaggerations about the benefits of the U.S. alliance with the kingdom,” the newspaper said in calling on Congress hold Crown Prince Mohammed accountable. “The alternative is a world where dictators know they can murder their critics and suffer no consequences.” Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense. |
HAPPY THANKSGIVING: Daily on Defense will not publish tomorrow, Thanksgiving Day or on Friday, as we take a short holiday hiatus to spend time with our families and reflect on the many things we are thankful for. Our next edition will be in your email inbox bright and early Monday morning, Nov. 26. $72 MILLION BORDER BILL: The Pentagon has finally come up with a cost for deploying those 5,800-plus active-duty troops to “harden” the southwestern border in response to a caravan of thousands of migrants from Central America. “Based on the current phased force laydown of approximately 5,900 Active Component personnel through Dec. 15, 2018, the estimated cost to deploy, operate, sustain, and redeploy forces is approximately $72 million,” said Col. Rob Manning, a Pentagon spokesman in a statement issued yesterday morning. “The total cost of the operation has yet to be determined and will depend on the total size, duration, and scope of the DoD support to DHS,” Manning said, noting, “This estimate includes only those DoD forces and support requested and approved as of 19 November 2018.” NOT SO FAST: No sooner than Lt. Gen. Jeffrey Buchanan, the three-star general who heads U.S. Army North, told Politico that some active-duty troops at the U.S.-Mexico border could begin coming home this week, the Pentagon and the command both issued statements Tuesday that appeared to backpedal. “No decisions on redeployment have been made,” Capt. Bill Speaks, a Pentagon spokesman, told the Washington Examiner. “We may shift some forces to other areas of the border to engineering support missions in California and other areas. No specific timeline for redeployment has been determined,” U.S. Army North said. Buchanan said in the interview that some work was wrapping up and all troops were expected to be sent home to their regular duties by Christmas. In a classic “what the general meant to say” walk back, a Pentagon official said Buchanan was simply pointing out that the mission is “evolving” and that some active-duty support may not be needed in the near future. FINDING OTHER THINGS FOR THEM TO DO: Meanwhile, Reuters reports that a draft proposal would give U.S. troops the authority to carry out medical screening of migrants. The news agency quotes U.S. officials as saying the proposal would involve the military in screenings “for things like illness and injury only if U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency personnel were overwhelmed and unable to do so on their own.” As the Reuters story notes, “The proposal would expand the mission for the Pentagon, which said previously it did not expect its forces to directly interact with migrants.” AMNESTY RULING DISPUTED: The Trump Administration says Monday’s ruling by a federal judge that the president does have the authority to restrict amnesty requests to people who enter the U.S. at officially-designated ports of entry in another case of judicial overreach. “This temporary injunction is yet another example of activist judges imposing their open borders policy preferences, which are rejected by the overwhelming majority of the American people, and interfering with the executive branch’s authority to administer the immigration system in a manner that ensures the Nation’s safety, security, and the rule of law,” said White House press secretary Sarah Sanders in a statement. “We will take all necessary action to defend the executive branch’s lawful response to the crisis at our southern border.” “As the Supreme Court affirmed this summer, Congress has given the President broad authority to limit or even stop the entry of aliens into this country. Further, asylum is a discretionary benefit given by the Executive Branch only when legal conditions are met and a favorable exercise of discretion is warranted,” said DHS Spokeswoman Katie Waldman and DOJ Spokesman Steven Stafford in a statement yesterday. “It is absurd that a set of advocacy groups can be found to have standing to sue to stop the entire federal government from acting so that illegal aliens can receive a government benefit to which they are not entitled.” US CARRIER MAKES CHINA PORT CALL: U.S. Navy ships and sailors have visited Hong Kong for decades, but recently port calls have been less frequent as tensions with China have risen over trade and China’s militarization of island in the South China Sea. So it’s significant that the U.S. Navy’s 7th Fleet has announced that American aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan, along with the cruiser USS Chancellorsville and destroyer USS Curtis D. Wilbur, dropped anchor in Hong Kong Harbor today. “Hong Kong is always an incredible port visit and I’m glad that the officers and Sailors of Carrier Strike Group 5 will have the chance to enjoy the culture, vitality and diversity of this great city,” said Rear Adm. Karl Thomas, commander Carrier Strike Group 5. While in port, sailors will have opportunities to explore Hong Kong and interact with local citizens through sporting competitions, community relations projects, and tours, according to a Navy statement. TRUMP MAY END BOYCOTT OF WHCA DINNER: Noting that the White House Correspondents’ Association has decided to forgo having the traditional comedian to roast the president and press corps at its annual Washington dinner, President Trump indicated in a tweet he might don his tuxedo and make an appearance next year. “So-called comedian Michelle Wolf bombed so badly last year at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner that this year, for the first time in decades, they will have an author instead of a comedian. Good first step in comeback of a dying evening and tradition! Maybe I will go?” he tweeted. Trump has skipped the dinner for two years. The White House Correspondents’ Association announced Monday that Pulitzer Prize-winning author Ron Chernow will headline next spring’s dinner to lower the political temperature, after Wolf’s decidedly anti-Trump performance earlier this year. THE RUNDOWN AP: Taliban deny involvement in Kabul bombing that killed 50 New York Times: U.S. Needs Saudis to Combat ‘Mean, Nasty World,’ Pompeo Says AP: South Korean named Interpol president in blow to Russia Military.com: No Grounding for T-38 Fleet After 5th Crash in 12 Months, Air Force Says Breaking Defense: Russians Tried to Jam NATO Exercise; Swedes Say They’ve Seen This Before Fox News: Medal of Honor recipient: Thanksgiving — Let’s remember we are home thanks to those who answered the call Defense News: What’s standing in the way of an Arab NATO? Daily Beast: Trump Bet the Whole Middle East On Khashoggi’s Alleged Murderer. Now He’s Doubling Down. Foreign Policy: In Afghanistan, a 17-Year Stalemate The Hill: Senators push back on Russian official’s candidacy for Interpol president USNI News: Panel: Southeast Asia Growing Increasingly Wary of Chinese Investment Strategy |
CalendarMONDAY | NOV. 26 10:30 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Implementing Defense-Industrial Policy with Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Eric Chewning. atlanticcouncil.org 1 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Supporting Global Integration: The Joint Staff Approach to Air and Missile Defense. csis.org TUESDAY | NOV. 27 9 a.m. 2018 Global Security Forum: Prospects and Priorities for U.S. Gray Zone Competition with Retired Adm. Mike Rogers and William Lynn, CEO of Leonardo DRS. csis.org 9:30 a.m. Dirksen G-50. Findings and Recommendations of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy with Ambassador Eric Edelman and Retired Adm. Gary Roughead, Co-Chairs of the Commission. armed-services.senate.gov 10 a.m. House 137. Recalibrating Middle East Policy. defensepriorities.org 2 p.m. 2301 Constitution Ave. NW. India and Pakistan 10 Years After the Mumbai Attacks. usip.org 2:30 p.m. Russell 220. Subcommittee Hearing on Navy Shipbuilding Programs with Assistant Navy Secretary James Geurts; Vice Adm. William Merz, Deputy Chief Of Naval Operations; and Deputy Marine Corps Commandant Lt. Gen. David Berger. armed-services.senate.gov WEDNESDAY | NOV. 28 9 a.m. 1740 Massachusetts Ave. NW. The Commission on the National Defense Strategy Discusses Its Report to Congress with Ambassador Eric Edelman and Retired Adm. Gary Roughead. said-jhu.edu 9 a.m. 2301 Constitution Ave. NW. Soft Power in a Sharp Power World: Countering Coercion and Information Warfare with Reps. Francis Rooney and Don Beyer. usip.org 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Maritime Security Dialogue: The Return of Great Power Competition and the Second Fleet with Vice Adm. Andrew “Woody” Lewis. csis.org Noon. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. Russia’s Serial Violations: The INF and Beyond. heritage.org |
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