Shutdown looms as some Dems ready to deal, but no one’s talking

COMPROMISE APPEARS OFF THE TABLE: Various congressional Republicans and Democrats have suggested ways to reach a compromise to avoid a partial government shutdown at the end of the month. But the main players, President Trump, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and House Minority Leader/Likely incoming Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., appear dug-in and un-budging in their respective positions. Meanwhile, Congress has left town for the holiday break, making a shutdown over border funding increasingly likely.

As former Pentagon speechwriter Marc Thiessen noted this week, the Democrats are in the driver’s seat but are not using their leverage to get a deal. “There is a name for this in negotiating strategy,” he writes in an op-ed, “It’s called ‘insanity.’”

A DACA DEAL? South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, who has been among those urging Trump to stick to his guns, also proposed offering the Dems something. The South Carolina Republican suggests a revival of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, designed address the plight of so-called “dreamers” brought to the country illegally as children. “Put DACA on the table and make them say NO to the Wall and DACA. #DigIn,” Graham tweeted, Tuesday before Trump met with the Democratic leaders in the now infamous Oval Office confrontation.

The Washington Post also editorialized striking a deal that includes DACA relief should be a “no-brainer” for both sides. “Democrats should be able to swallow that with the knowledge that it also will have paid to safeguard so many young lives, careers and hopes.”

IS THERE A MAGIC NUMBER? Rep. Tom Reed said yesterday there’s “broad agreement” that a deal could be put together. “But I think we’re maybe not in the position here over the next week to get that done,” the New York Republican said. “What I think the negotiations need to center around is, what is the number that we can agree to? And it’s not just about a wall. Border security with a number somewhere within that $1.3 billion to $5 billion range.”

Reed appeared CNN yesterday along with Democratic Rep. John Garamendi of California, who agree there’s a deal to be had, especially if the president is willing to give something on DACA. “It’s possible. Certainly, we know how to do that. That’s been discussed nine ways to Sunday,” he said. “You pick some of the bipartisan ideas that were presented several months ago, add that in, sure, you’ll get a number, $2.5 billion, who knows what it will be, but it will be somewhere in the middle.”

But yesterday, House Democratic Leader Pelosi confirmed there are no negotiations with Trump underway at the moment. “No, I haven’t spoken to him since he called the other day,” Pelosi said. “So right now, he and — Chuck [Schumer] and I — are not in a negotiation. We’re not going to. $5 billion for the wall? We simply are not.”

WHO WANTS A WALL ANYWAY? The Democrats insist the border wall is an expensive, ineffective, waste of money. So, who wants it? Well, the chief of the U.S. Border Patrol chief, for one.

“We certainly do need a wall, Carla Provost told Neil Cavuto of Fox News yesterday. “If you talk to any Border Patrol agent, they will tell you that,” she said. “We have identified across the entire Southwest border areas that the wall makes sense. And I have prioritized that, based on the operational requirements from my field leadership.”

Provost said the $5 billion the president seeks would not be wasted. “We have identified mileage that goes beyond the $5 billion,” Provost told Cavuto, “But like I said, we have prioritized it. So, no matter what funding I get, I am ready to work on putting the — putting the wall where we need it.”

MATTIS ON THE MILITARY BUILDING THE WALL: NPR reporter David Welna cornered Defense Secretary Jim Mattis on Capitol Hill yesterday where he was briefing the House on the Khashoggi murder and U.S. Saudi relations.

Asked if the U.S. military should be building the wall if Congress fails to appropriate funds, Mattis repeated his statement that the military is limited to support tasks such as string razor wire and putting Jersey barriers in place. “This is something that we do in the last four administrations,” Mattis told Welna, who then asked, “What about building the wall?”

“That’s a separate issue,” Mattis said. “I notice that the president is in consultation with the Congress and all, so we’ll have to see how all the discussions come out.”

SENATE BUCKS TRUMP, REBUKES SAUDIS: The Senate voted unanimously yesterday to hold Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman responsible for the death of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker’s resolution is an effort to enable the Senate to send a message to both the Saudi crown prince and President Trump, who angered both Republicans and Democrats by refusing to rebuke the crown prince for Khashoggi’s killing.

The Senate also, for the first time, has invoked provisions of the 1973 War Powers Act to check the executive branch’s authority, by voting to end U.S. support of the Saudi-led airstrikes in Yemen. Senators voted 56-41 in favor of the resolution, which passed after lawmakers agreed to a series of amendments. That included one by Sen. Todd Young, R-Ind., to block the U.S. military from in-flight refueling of Saudi jets.

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HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Mattis will join Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs Chrystia Freeland and Canadian Minister of National Defence Harjit Sajjan for “policy discussions on priority issues in the bilateral relationship, regional cooperation, and joint security initiatives,” according to the Pentagon.

Afterward, the four will have a joint press availability at the State Department, at approximately 1:10 p.m.

HEDGING ON SPACE FORCE: The big question surrounding President Trump’s vision of Space Force is whether it will end up as his self-described “separate but equal” armed forces branch. That’s the plan the Pentagon is working on under the president’s order, but Congress may still want an option with less overhead and bureaucracy.

Yesterday at breakfast event for reporters Deputy Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan appeared to be hedging his bets. Shanahan told reporters that he’s narrowed the options down to one, and it’s being turned into a “legislative proposal” for the president to send to Congress. “If I dare to use an aerospace term, I’d say we’re on the final approach,” he said.

But Shanahan says he’s spoken to the new chairman of the House Armed services Committee, Rep. Adam Smith, D-Wash. Shanahan indicated the Pentagon is open to changes Congress might want, which would result in something less than a fully separate military service. “Less is better, and the more detail we can provide on the proposals and people give us a sense of what we need to take out,” Shanahan said. “I’m happy to get the red pen out,” he said. “We need a certain degree of bureaucracy given our size, but the overhead, how do we minimize the cost there? And the staff on the Hill has been very helpful in saying, ‘Make sure you answer these questions on cost.’”

PENTAGON RECOUPS REFUELING MONEY: The Pentagon is seeking to recoup $331 million from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for aerial refueling of warplanes in the Yemen war, following an accounting error, Sen. Jack Reed, D-R.I., said. Reed, the Senate Armed Services ranking member, requested an investigation into reimbursements for the American aerial refueling assistance earlier this year and U.S. Central Command reported back that it had not properly tracked the payments.

“This is good news for U.S. taxpayers and underscores the need for strong oversight of the Department of Defense,” Reed said in a statement. “The American people should not be forced to bear these costs and I am encouraged DOD is taking steps to get full reimbursement.” The military provided the refueling to the Saudi-led coalition fighting Iran-backed Houthi rebels until November, when it ended the assistance, amid increasing criticism of the Yemen war on Capitol Hill.

NEW SASC DEMS: Senate Democrats have decided who will fill the three seats on the Armed Services Committee of senators defeated in the midterm elections. Sens. Tammy Duckworth, D-Il., Joe Manchin, D-W.V., and Doug Jones, D-Ala., are set to join the committee next month as junior members, as it starts crafted its annual defense policy bill and debates Pentagon funding levels.

Duckworth, an Iraq war veteran who lost her legs in combat, served on the House Armed Services Committee before being elected to the Senate in 2016. Manchin, a moderate Democrat, served on the Senate Armed Services Committee previously. Jones, who joined the Senate this year, ensures Alabama will regain representation for its aerospace industry in Huntsville and shipbuilding industry in Mobile after recent departures of Republican Sens. Jeff Sessions and Luther Strange.

INHOFE DITCHES DEFENSE STOCKS: Sen. Jim Inhofe, R-Okla., the Senate Armed Services chairman, said he is abandoning defense stocks, amid criticism over his financial adviser attempting $55,000-$100,000 in trades of Raytheon shares on Monday — after the senator brokered a potentially massive defense budget hike with Trump.

“I had no say in any of the investments that took place by this group because I’m one of 900 and some clients that all invest in the same thing,” Inhofe told CNN. “Now, so that it wouldn’t look bad, I’ve said, ‘When you come to our account, you can take out anything it might look like an aerospace or a defense contractor,’ and that’s what they did.”

EXPECTING MORE FROM AFRICA: The Trump administration is pushing African nations to take on a greater role fighting the terrorist groups that threaten them, White House national security adviser John Bolton said Thursday, as he unveiled a new strategy for the continent. The Pentagon announced last month it will draw down the roughly 7,200 U.S. military personnel in Africa by 10 percent over the next several years.

“What we’d like to do is empower the African countries to do more of their own security, to do it in coordination with one another. They’re the ones who know the neighborhood rather than have the deployment of American forces who are comparatively very well paid and well equipped,” Bolton said during an address at the Heritage Foundation.

NEW STRATEGY: Trump’s newly-unveiled Africa strategy focuses on countering growing Chinese and Russian influence and takes a hardline approach to years of what Bolton described as failed U.S. aid and United Nations peacekeeping support.

“Unfortunately, billions upon billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars have not achieved the desired effects. They have not stopped the scourge of terrorism, radicalism, and violence. They have not prevented other powers, such as China and Russia, from taking advantage of African states to increase their own power and influence. From now on, the United States will not tolerate this long-standing pattern of aid without effect, assistance without accountability, and relief without reform,” Bolton said.

NON-COMBAT DEATH IN AFGHANISTAN: NATO-led Operation Resolute Support reports that U.S. service member has died in “a non-combat related incident” in Afghanistan. The incident, which occurred yesterday, is under investigation.

This is the 14th U.S. death in Afghanistan this year, and the second in a “non-combat” situation.

PUTIN’S UKRAINE STRATEGY: A top Senate Republican is accusing Russian President Vladimir Putin of trying to seize key Ukrainian cities that would give him a “land bridge” to the annexed peninsula of Crimea. “That strategy is very clear,” Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson, who chairs the Foreign Relations subcommittee for Europe, told the Washington Examiner. “It’s pretty obvious what Putin’s doing.”

KELLY’S REPLACEMENT: Dismissing reports he’s having trouble finding a suitable replacement for White House Chief Staff John Kelly, President Trump said yesterday he has narrowed his list of candidates down to five. “Five people. Really good ones. Terrific people. Mostly well-known, but terrific people,” Trump told reporters at the White House before a meeting with incoming governors.

In an interview with Fox News, Trump indicated he was showing the retired Marine general the door because he wants some who is more like-minded. “I want somebody that’s strong, but I want somebody that thinks like I do. It’s my vision — it is my vision, after all,” Trump said. “At the same time, I’m open to ideas.”

Kelly’s departure leaves Jim Mattis as the last general standing from Trump’s original team, which was glistening with former four-stars.

MCSALLY’S FUTURE MORE UNCERTAIN: Arizona Republican Rep. Martha McSally, who narrowly lost her bid to move up to the Senate, also may not get to fill the unexpired seat of the late Sen. John McCain. According to a published report, Gov. Doug Ducey has soured on the former A-10 squadron commander, who got criticized by some in her own party for not accepting blame in her November loss to Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema.

The Washington Post says one reason for antipathy is a post-election memo, which reportedly “sparked outrage inside Ducey’s circle and among broader swaths of influential Republicans, who felt her team did not own up to its strategic mistakes.” The memo attributed her defeat in November largely to external factors, including strong Democratic fundraising, a geographic disadvantage and voter hostility toward President Trump, the Post reported.

THE RUNDOWN

Washington Post: Former Special Forces soldier, once lauded as a hero, faces murder charge

Roll Call: Senate Flexes Congress’ War Powers Authority, For First Time Ever

Defense News: Will the Space Force sit under the Department of the Air Force? The Pentagon finally has an answer.

Task and Purpose: Army Charges Green Beret With Murder For Killing Suspected Taliban Bomb-Maker In 2010

AP: Pentagon: NKorea slow to negotiate over US war remains

Breaking Defense: As Pentagon Demands Cybersecurity, Industry Group Offers New Standards: AIA

Military.com: Navy Achieves New F-35 Fighter Jet Milestone on USS Carl Vinson

Reuters: Bomb threats demanding bitcoin emailed across U.S. and Canada, none found credible

Washington Post: Bolton says ‘predatory’ China is outpacing the U.S. in Africa

New York Times: Warring Sides in Yemen Agree to Truce in Key Port City

USNI News: $3.6 Billion Needed To Rebuild Camp Lejeune Facilities Damaged By Hurricane Florence

Calendar

FRIDAY | DEC. 14

6:45 a.m. 1250 South Hayes St. Special Topic Breakfast with Adm. Karl Schultz, Commandant of the U.S. Coast Guard. navyleague.org

9 a.m. 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW. 2018 Cato Institute Surveillance Conference. cato.org

MONDAY | DEC. 17

10 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. China’s Belt and Road in Context. heritage.org

Noon. 1030 15th St. NW. The Future of US Policy in Syria. atlanticcouncil.org

TUESDAY | DEC. 18

9:30 a.m. 1501 Lee Hwy. Mitchell Hour AFWIC and Future Force Design with Maj. Gen. Michael Fantini, Director of Air Force Warfighting Integration Capability. mitchellaerospacepower.org

10:30 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. U.S. China 2018 Year in Review: A New Cold War? wilsoncenter.org

2:30 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Is There Any Hope for Yemen? wilsoncenter.org

QUOTE OF THE DAY
“I’ve spoken with Representative Smith … and what I feel really confident in is he and I have the same view about bureaucracy.”
Deputy Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan, telling reporters that he agrees with incoming House Armed Services Chairman Rep. Adam Smith about cutting overhead for the budding Space Force program.

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