IT’S SHANAHAN’S TURN: After a brief phone call between the two men New Year’s Eve, outgoing Defense Secretary Jim Mattis turned over to his former deputy Patrick Shanahan the awesome responsibility of leading the Pentagon’s 1.4 active duty military, 700,000 civilians, and another 1.1 million Guard and Reserve troops. Shanahan’s name is now on the gold plaque outside the defense secretary’s third-floor office. Shanahan spent 30 years at Boeing building airplanes, where he was known as a “Mr. Fix-it.” While Shanahan has no prior military or government experience, he has been working hand-in-glove with Mattis. Aides insist he has been instrumental in policy, including fashioning the new National Defense Strategy, which calls for shifting away from counter-terrorism and focusing more on countering near-peer competitors Russia and China. He’s no dummy, holding an undergraduate degree in mechanical engineering, as well as two advanced degrees from MIT — including an MBA. “As acting secretary of defense, I now look forward to working with President Trump to carry out his vision,” Shanahan said in a statement. “Under the direction of President Trump, the Department of Defense remains focused on safeguarding our nation.” HOW LONG WILL HE SERVE? Mattis’s retirement letter was widely portrayed as a rebuke of the president, prompting him to fire the retired general in anger. Trump said at the time he would move expeditiously to get a permanent replacement confirmed by the Senate. “A new Secretary of Defense will be named shortly,” Trump tweeted the day Mattis resigned. Now that he’s named the Number 2 at the Pentagon the acting secretary, Trump seems to be in no hurry to find anyone else. “He could be there for a long time. I mean, I’m in no rush,” Trump told reporters traveling with him to Iraq after Christmas. Trump sees Shanahan as a deal-maker, as opposed to the military officers who he has criticized for knowing nothing about business. “He’s a good buyer. I wanted somebody that could buy, because I’m giving a lot of money and I don’t want it to be wasted.” Those with long memories will recall that in 1994, William Perry was seen by many as a bookish technocrat when he elevated from deputy defense secretary to the top job by President Bill Clinton. Perry, a mathematician, turned out to be a major influence on policy. WILL HE PUSH BACK? Shanahan has been the point-man making Trump’s Space Force a reality, a project that Mattis saw as bureaucratic overkill. Mattis tempered some of Trump’s more impulsive instincts, including withdrawing from NATO, targeting Bashar Assad, canceling U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, and using the military to build parts of tent cities and engage in law enforcement on the southwest border. The question is whether Shanahan, in his caretaker role, will be more of a “go along, get along,” Department of Defense leader. “Q’s for Shanahan: agree w/immediate Syria withdrawal? Will you express full support for NATO? Restart full exercises with ROK? Is ISIS defeated? How does partial w/d from Afghanistan meet goals? Will you say No to POTUS ever? Yemen and KSA? 700/733/750?” tweeted Democrat Rep. Rick Larson, Wash., shortly after Trump announced he was dispatching Mattis two months early. WILL MATTIS TESTIFY? Mattis is lying low and expected to soon head back to his home state of Washington. But with Democrats in charge of Congress, he could be called to testify about his policy differences with Trump. While serving as secretary Mattis kept a relatively low profile and carefully avoided directly contradicting Trump in public. WHO WILL SPEAK FOR HIM? Mattis’ chief spokesperson Dana White also resigned Monday, the same day Mattis left. “It is with a heavy heart that I have submitted my letter of resignation to Secretary Mattis,” said White in a memo to her staff. White was under the cloud of an investigation by the Pentagon’s inspector general for her management style and had ceased public briefings as of May of 2017. She will now be replaced by her deputy, Charles Summers, a captain in the Navy Reserve and former state legislator in Maine, who will now be the acting assistant to the secretary of defense for public affairs. Late last year, Mattis tapped an active-duty Marine, Maj. Gen. Burke Whitman, a to serve as the on-camera face of the Pentagon. The two-star general was expected to start briefing reporters next month. WILL DUNFORD SERVE OUT HIS TERM? Trump has already announced he plans to replace retiring Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Joseph Dunford with Army Chief of Staff Gen. Mark Milley. But like Mattis, Dunford, who was appointed by President Barack Obama, was often the bearer of unwelcome advice. He is currently involved in the effort to get Trump to slow down his Syria withdrawal plan. Dunford’s office has said he plans to serve until September when he is scheduled to retire. MATTIS’ FAREWELL: In his farewell letter to the troops and civilians in the Department of Defense, Mattis, a student of history quoted a favorite letter Abraham Lincoln sent then-Lt. Gen. Ulysses Grant in 1865. “Let nothing which is transpiring, change, hinder, or delay your military movements, or plans.” Mattis kept a copy of the letter in his Pentagon office to remind himself to stay focused on his mission amid the turmoil and tumult of Washington. “So keep the faith in our country and hold fast, alongside our allies, aligned against our foes,” he wrote. AND GOODBYE TRAVIS: Sharp-eyed readers will have noticed that my partner Travis Tritten’s photo no longer appears alongside mine on the masthead. Travis is starting the new year with a new job. As of today, Travis is a senior reporter for Bloomberg Government, based at the Pentagon. Travis was my eyes and ears on Capitol Hill, as well as covering the Pentagon, and much of our reporting last year on the budget and other congressional machinations was the result of his diligence and persistence. I wish him good luck and know I’ll be seeing him around the C-ring off the 9th corridor, where the Pentagon press corps has its desks. Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by David Mark (@DavidMarkDC). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. 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HAPPENING TODAY, ‘LET’S MAKE A DEAL’: President Trump has invited congressional leaders of both parties to the White House at 3 p.m. today to discuss a fight over his proposed border wall, which prompted a partial government shutdown. A congressional source confirmed to the Washington Examiner that Trump proposed the meeting, framing it as a briefing on “border security.” “Border Security and the Wall ‘thing’ and Shutdown is not where Nancy Pelosi wanted to start her tenure as Speaker! Let’s make a deal?” Trump tweeted yesterday afternoon. Attending on the Republican side will be Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Ky., and soon-to-be House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Calif. and Minority Whip Steve Scalise, La. Incoming House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Calif., and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, N.Y., will represent the Democrats. The meeting comes one day before the Democrats take control of the House, and one day after the U.S. fired tear gas onto the Mexican side of the border near Tijuana’s beach to repel about 150 migrants trying to breach the border fence. The migrants, including women and children, told The Associated Press they arrived last month with the caravan from Honduras. BOLD PREDICTION: F-35 WILL BEAT THE GOAL: Before Mattis left, he ordered the Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps to fix the problem of aircraft readiness by the end of the year. He set an ambitious goal for seven of the various front-line combat aircraft planes to have a mission-capable rate of 80 percent, meaning on any given day only 20 percent of the fleet could be down for maintenance. Just last month the GAO told Congress the goal may be too much of a stretch, given how far behind maintenance has fallen after years of congressionally-mandated spending caps. But in an interview is this week’s Washington Examiner magazine, Vice Adm. Mat Winter, program executive officer for the F-35’s Joint Program Office says he’s betting the plane will meet or beat the goal. “The answer is yes, but … this is a tough challenge,” Winter said, explaining that with a new plane the problem is the supply chain, getting spare parts where they are needed. “We want to make sure all our parts are in the garage or with our warfighter so that the downtime of an aircraft is measured in minutes and hours, not days and weeks.” WHAT’S THE RUSH? Was it Lindsey Graham or Benjamin Netanyahu who got to Trump? In any event, after meeting with the Republican senator from South Carolina and talking to the Israeli prime minister by phone, Trump has changed his tune about a rapid immediate withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria, “I never said that I’m gonna rush out,” Trump said in a New Year’s Eve interview with Fox News. “We’re going to get out. We’re getting out of Syria; we’re bringing our young, great troops home after so many years.” That’s not how it sounded two weeks ago, when Trump recorded a twitter video on the White House lawn, in lieu of addressing the nation about his pullout plans. “Now we’ve won, it’s time to come back. They’re getting ready. You’re going to see them soon,” Trump tweeted Dec. 21. “Our boys, our young women, our men, they are all coming back. And they are coming back now.” Graham, who has been apoplectic about the prospect of a precipitous withdrawal that would hand eastern Syria over to Bashar Assad and the Russians, and possibly lead to another 9/11-level attack, had lunch with Trump Sunday and pronounced himself reassured. “We talked about Syria. He told me some things I didn’t know that made me feel a lot better about where we’re headed in Syria,” Graham said. “I think the president’s taking this really seriously.” The New York Times reports Trump will give the military about four months to pull 2,000 U.S. troops from Syria, citing administration officials. LET ME MAKE THIS MCCHRYSTAL CLEAR: One thing you can count on if anyone criticizes President Trump, he won’t hesitate to hit back. In response to an interview former Afghanistan commander retired Army Gen. Stanley McChrystal gave ABC, Trump tweeted, “‘General’ McChrystal got fired like a dog by Obama. Last assignment a total bust. Known for big, dumb mouth. Hillary lover!” “I think it’s important for me to work for people who I think are basically honest, who tell the truth as best they know it,” McChrystal said in the interview, which aired Sunday on ABC’s “This Week.” Asked by co-anchor Martha Raddatz if Trump is a liar, McChrystal answered, “I don’t think he tells the truth.” “Is Trump immoral, in your view?” Raddatz asked. “I think he is,” McChrystal said. McChrystal added, “What I would ask every American to do is … stand in front of that mirror and say, ‘What are we about? Am I really willing to throw away or ignore some of the things that people do that are — are pretty unacceptable normally just because they accomplish certain other things that we might like?’” ROMNEY’S NEXT: Utah Sen.-elect Mitt Romney who lost the 2012 presidential race to Barack Obama, and who famously excoriated Trump in a 2016 speech in which he called Trump “a con man, a fake,” is blasting Trump again. This time, on the eve of his swearing-in as a senator. “On balance, his conduct over the past two years, particularly his actions this month, is evidence that the president has not risen to the mantle of the office,” Romney writes in an op-ed in the Washington Post, citing the departures of “Mattis and White House Chief of Staff John Kelly, the appointment of senior persons of lesser experience, the abandonment of allies who fight beside us, and the president’s thoughtless claim that America has long been a ‘sucker’ in world affairs,” which Romney argues have “all defined his presidency down.” “A president should demonstrate the essential qualities of honesty and integrity, and elevate the national discourse with comity and mutual respect … And it is in this province where the incumbent’s shortfall has been most glaring,” he writes. “I will support policies that I believe are in the best interest of the country and my state, and oppose those that are not. I do not intend to comment on every tweet or fault. But I will speak out against significant statements or actions that are divisive, racist, sexist, anti-immigrant, dishonest or destructive to democratic institutions.” POMPEO IN BRAZIL: Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reaffirmed U.S. support for Israel on Tuesday after a visit with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, whose team was caught off-guard by President Trump’s plan to withdraw from Syria. Pompeo met with Netanyahu in Brazil, writing in a Twitter post: “The United States fully supports Israel’s right to defend itself. The U.S.-Israeli alliance is strong.” KIM’S NEW YEAR’S WARNING: North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un gave his traditional New Year’s address to his nation yesterday, and the message was clear, says Harry Kazianis, director of defense studies at the Center for the National Interest. “Pyongyang is clearly willing to engage in dialogue while working towards denuclearization with Washington and Seoul — but on its terms.” In his speech yesterdy, Kim said, “I am ready to meet the US president again anytime, and will make efforts to obtain without fail results which can be welcomed by the international community.” But then added a caveat, that he wants sanctions relief first, something the U.S. has refused up to now. “If the United States does not keep the promise it made in the eyes of the world, and out of miscalculation of our people’s patience, it attempts to unilaterally enforce something upon us and persists in imposing sanctions and pressure against our Republic, we may be compelled to find a new way for defending the sovereignty of the country and the supreme interests of the state and for achieving peace and stability of the Korean peninsula.” “Will Team Trump be willing to back away from its position of zero sanctions relief until Kim entirely dismantles his nuclear program?” ask Kazianis. “If the answer is no, then we very well could be headed back to the days of ‘fire and fury,’ as Kim remarks seem to suggest his patience with America is wearing thin.” It may be time for the U.S. to test the sincerity of Kim’s denuclearization intentions, Kazianis argues. “A grand bargain on denuclearization that matches action-for-action, where both sides make corresponding moves to ease tensions — such as a phased reduction in sanctions for a phased ending of Kim’s nuclear program — could be the way to secure peace on the Korean Peninsula once and for all.” You can read the full English translation of Kim’s speech here. TRUMP’S RESPONSE: “Kim Jong Un says North Korea will not make or test nuclear weapons, or give them to others – & he is ready to meet President Trump anytime.” Trump tweeted, citing a report on the “PBS NewsHour”. “I also look forward to meeting with Chairman Kim who realizes so well that North Korea possesses great economic potential!” he said. PROPER USE OF A B-2: Col. Mat Calhoun and Lt. Col. Bob Bryant flew their B-2 stealth bomber, the “Spirit of America,” over the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif., yesterday in the traditional pregame fly-over. Fortunately, the Whiteman Air Force Base pilots did not engage their cloaking device so the batwing bomber was clearly visible in the bright blue California sky. (That’s a joke, folks. Don’t write.) IMPROPER USE OF B-2: The U.S. Strategic Command tweeted a video New Year’s Eve a showing a nuclear-capable B-2 dropping a MOAB “Mother of All Bombs” 30,000-pound conventional bomb, and included the tongue-in-cheek message, “#TimesSquare tradition rings in the #NewYear by dropping the big ball…if needed, we are #ready to drop something much, much bigger.’ The tweet was subsequently deleted by STRATCOM, which apologized, “Our previous NYE tweet was in poor taste & does not reflect our values. We apologize. We are dedicated to the security of America & allies.” One wag, on STATCOM’S Twitter page commented, “If you can’t be trusted with twitter, how can we trust you with nukes?” The MOAB, officially named the GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast, is not a nuclear bomb. It was last dropped in combat on an ISIS cave complex in Afghanistan in April 2017. MARINE DEATH UNDER INVESTIGATION: A U.S. Marine stationed in Washington, D.C., died on duty from a gunshot wound. Washington D.C. Police Department responded to the scene at the Marine Barracks at 8th and I early yesterday morning. The Marine Corps did not provide the name of the victim, or provide additional information about how he died. The Washington Post quotes two officials with knowledge of the investigation as saying the initial reports indicate the Marine appeared to have been struck by an accidental discharge from another Marine’s weapon. THE RUNDOWN New York Times: Xi Jinping Warns Taiwan That Unification Is the Goal and Force Is an Option Reuters: China’s Xi Issues A Message For Trump: We’ve Got To Cooperate AP: Few details on American accused by Russia of espionage Bloomberg: Why the Pentagon Bought Romania a ‘Cheap and Cheerful’ Hatchback Breaking Defense: 2019 Forecast: Budget Battles & Confirmation Wars Defense360º: Bad Idea: Demanding Allies Spend Two Percent of GDP on Defense Washington Post: Top Pentagon spokeswoman resigns amid internal investigation Business Insider: A Chinese Warship Armed With An Electromagnetic Railgun Appears To Have Set Sail On The Open Ocean Military Times: First KC-46 delivery stalled by Mattis’ departure Inside Defense: Courtney: Navy Will Buy CVN-80, CVN-81 In Dual Buy Format, Save $4 Billion Reuters: Taliban blow up Afghan army outpost, killing five soldiers, police say Reuters: Top U.S. Commander In Afghanistan Sees Peace Opportunity In 2019 New York Times: Pilots Kept Losing Oxygen and the Military Had No Idea Why. Now There’s a Possible Fix. Washington Post: Trump’s Syria decision was essentially correct. Here’s how he can make the most of it. New York Times: Time To Get Out Of Afghanistan Military Times: Army unit lifts sex ban, cancels order prohibiting ‘rubbing, humping, grinding’ Stars and Stripes: The End Of ALLCAPS In Performance Reviews Gains Support From Sailors |
CalendarMONDAY | JANUARY 7 2 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Avenue NW. “Falling apart? The politics of New START and strategic modernization”. www.brookings.edu WEDNESDAY | JANUARY 9 4:30 p.m. 1401 Lee Highway, Arlington. National Veteran Small Business Coalition Dinner Meeting (DC Chapter) www.nvsbc.org. THURSDAY | JANUARY 10 10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Avenue, NW. “Maritime Security Dialogue: Maritime Priorities for the New Year from the Senior Enlisted Perspective”. www.csis.org WEDNESDAY | JANUARY 16 1 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Avenue NW. “Securing maritime commerce — the U.S. strategic outlook” www.brookings.edu |
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