Independent political analysts are giving Republicans better and better odds of taking the Senate.
Republicans need to win six Senate races to get a 51-seat majority, and analysts are increasingly saying they look like they will win more than enough.
Here are the current predictions, in decreasing order how strong they think the GOP’s position is:
• The Washington Post’s Election Lab gives Republicans a 94 percent change of winning control of the Senate.
• The New York Times’ The Upshot gives Republicans a 68 percent chance of winning the majority, or what it calls a “moderate edge.”
• The Princeton Election Consortium gives Republicans a 60 percent chance of winning 50 or more Senate seats.
• The Huffington Post‘s poll aggregators give Republicans a 59 percent chance of taking control of the Senate.
• The website FiveThirtyEight, run by statistician Nate Silver, gives Republicans a 57.8 percent chance of winning the majority.
The broad agreement is a shift from last month, when many analyists disagreed. But as Election Day has come closer, they have shifted to viewing Republican chances more favorably.
