With one month to go until Election Day, Senate forecasters continue to shift their predictions in the favor of Republicans.
But what states are at the forefront of this year’s election?
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According to the New York Times’ Senate forecast, the Upshot, Democratic Sens. Mark Pryor of Arkansas, Mary Landrieu of Louisiana and Mark Begich of Alaska are the incumbents most likely to lose their seats.
FiveThirtyEight concurs: Republicans are leading in those three states, and the odds the GOP takes the seats in the aforementioned states are 72, 70 and 70 percent, respectively.
Perhaps the biggest surprise is Mark Pryor losing his seat to Republican Tom Cotton. The Upshot gives Cotton an 84 percent chance of winning.
Republicans have a 62 percent of taking over the Senate according to the Upshot, compared to the 58.5 percent chance given by FiveThirtyEight.
