The NFL is in sore need of a few recounts after another weekend of on-field farce put on by the replacement referees. But as long as the season goes on, the Signal will tally the games that, according to a rigorous historical study—my own—have been determined to predict the presidential election.
Last week, I posted a rule for every franchise that predicts the winner of the election every four years, or at least nearly so. For example:
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Check for yourself if you don’t believe me. This was true in 2008, 2004, 2000, 1996, 1992, 1988,1984, 1980 and 1976—every election since the Buccaneers joined the NFL.
This may all seem like an elaborate exercise in the perils of confounding correlation with causation, and perhaps one that raises concerns about the author’s aptitude for time management. But if Mitt Romney wins the election, you will have read it here first. Going in to last weekend’s games, Romney led President Barack Obama four games in two. In other words, of the six rules that involve a game in the first two weeks of the season, four point to a Republican victory while two point to a Democratic victory.
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