Break out the calculators. It’s that time of year when Northern Region football coaches turn into mathematicians as they add up power points to figure out who needs to do what in Week 10 to reach the postseason. Here is a breakdown.
Division 6, Northern Region
1. Westfield (31.8 power points)
Most possible » 34.3; Least possible » 30.9
Barring a miracle, nothing to play for Saturday vs. Centreville except pride. Likely clinched top seed even with a loss.
2. West Springfield (30.3)
Most » 31.5; Least » 29.3
Spartans hold second spot for now, but pick up few power points with win over Lee. Best hope to stay No. 2 is Chantilly losing to Edison.
3. Chantilly (29.2)
Most » 31.4; Least » 28.9
Chargers have treasure-trove of power points available if they beat 8-1 Edison. Not an easy task. But reward is No. 2 seed.
4. West Potomac (28.9)
Most » 30.2; Least » 28
Still outside shot at No. 2 if Wolverines win and Chantilly and West Springfield falter. WP should play at home for quarters.
5. Lake Braddock (28.3)
Most » 29.1; Least » 27.3
Could host quarters if teams above slip. But expected win vs. Hayfield should solidify Bruins at No. 5 unless Centreville stuns Westfield.
6. Centreville (26.9)
Most » 29.8; Least » 26.6
Wildcats are in for first time since 2004 with win over Westfield. Even a loss should give enough points to qualify. But not definite.
7. Oakton (26.2)
Most » 27.8; Least » 25.6
Also controls its destiny. Cougars punch ticket with a win over Herndon. But a loss and things get dicey.
8. Robinson (25.8)
Most » 27.1; Least » 24.9
Rams should make it if beat Fairfax and get expected wins by Anacostia, West Springfield, Stone Bridge and Lake Braddock.
8. Langley (25.8)
Most » 26.9; Least » 25.2
Beating Woodson Monday has Saxons on brink. But even with win vs. McLean they likely will be passed if Robinson wins, too.
Others
10. South County (25.4)
Most » 27.1; Least » 25
A win gives Stallions hope. But need some upsets to earn the bonus points to slip by Langley and Robinson.
11. W.T. Woodson (24.8)
Most » 27.3; Least » 24.8
Cavaliers still alive because they play power-point heavy Stone Bridge (8-1).
Division 5 Northern Region
1.Stone Bridge (30.4)
Most » 31.9; Least » 29.8
A win wraps up home field for the Bulldogs, last year’s region runner-up.
2. Madison (29.3)
Most » 31.2; Least » 28.8
Warhawks would need a ton of unlikely help to pass Stone Bridge. Should hold off Edison with win vs. Marshall.
3. Edison (28.8)
Most » 30.7; Least » 28.6
Plenty of power points if defending region champion Eagles top Chantilly. Outside shot at No. 2 spot.
4. Marshall (23.8)
Most » 26.5; Least » 23.9
An upset of rival Madison all but guarantees a home playoff games for Statesmen.
4. Mount Vernon (23.8)
Most » 25.1; Least » 23.4
Tight race for final home quarterfinal game. Need a win and a Marshall loss.
6. Yorktown (22.7)
Most » 24.6; Least » 22.4
A loss to W-L drops Patriots below their Arlington County rival. Moving up from No. 6 unlikely.
7. Washington-Lee (20.9)
Most » 23.3; Least » 21.3
Generals are in good shape. But a loss to Yorktown and wins by South Lakes and Lee could push them out.
8. Lee (20.7)
Most » 23.2; Least » 21
Not a typical 2-7 team. Lancers have tough task vs. West Springfield. But a win and they’re in
Others
9. South Lakes (20.2)
Most » 21.6; Least » 19.9
Seahawks expect to top TJ. Do that and have West Springfield beat Lee and SL is likely postseason bound.
