President Obama is poised for a tiny reelection victory, when the results of 13 key academic election models are averaged. Of the 13, eight predict an outright win, with the average over the 13 showing a projected vote of 50.2 percent.

The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics provided a sneak peak at an upcoming review of the predictions in 13 key election models that are due to be released in the October edition of “PS: Political Science & Politics,” the journal of the American Political Science Association.