The number of violent crimes committed in the 30 largest U.S. cities is set to fall in 2017, despite claims from the Trump administration that these crimes are on the rise.

According to new analysis from the Brennan Center for Justice, the overall crime rate in the 30 largest cities in 2017 will drop by about 2.7 percent from 2016. The violent crime rate will fall by 1.1 percent, putting it at the bottom of the nation’s 30-year downward trend.