Poll: Most voters predict Clinton victory in November

Published June 21, 2016 11:52am ET



A new poll shows that 55 percent of voters think Hillary Clinton will succeed President Obama in the White House, while just 38 percent think Trump will pull out a win.

The new CNN/ORC national poll has Clinton with a 47-42 nationwide lead, and says more than one in five voters haven’t made up their minds.

Voters who back Clinton were more likely to say they will definitely vote for the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee in November, when compared to those who support Trump. Among undecided voters, 23 percent leaned towards supporting Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and 12 percent backed Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

In the aftermath of the Orlando terror attacks, Trump is seen as the more trusted candidate to handle terrorism and gun policy. He is also seen as a stronger leader than his Democratic opponent. Trump saw a slight boost in his poll numbers during the GOP primary following the terror attacks in San Bernardino and Paris last fall.

Clinton leads Trump on most other issues that are important to voters this election cycle, including immigration and free trade, which have long been at the center of Trump’s message. She is also more trusted to handle U.S. foreign policy, issues facing women and the LGBT community, and the nomination of Supreme Court justices.

Both candidates, however, remain wildly unpopular among Americans. Less than 30 percent of voters said they would be “excited” about either major party candidate occupying the Oval Office, while 56 and 39 percent would be embarrassed to have Trump or Clinton as president, respectively.

The survey of 891 registered U.S. voters was conducted June 16-19. Results contain a margin of error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.