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LET THE DRILLS BEGIN: The Pentagon has announced that its annual spring combined military exercises with South Korea, delayed for the Winter Olympics and Paralympics, will begin April 1, and be of the “same scale, scope and duration as previous years.” As it does every year, the U.S. stressed that the drills are defensive in nature, designed to ensure the U.S. and its allies are ready to respond to any attack on the south. “Our combined exercises are defense-oriented and there is no reason for North Korea to view them as a provocation,” said Lt. Col. Christopher Logan, a Pentagon spokesman, in a statement to reporters last night. “These routine training exercises are not conducted in response to any [North Korean] provocations or the current political situation on the peninsula.” There are two exercises going on that overlap. “Foal Eagle” is a field exercise that involves about 11,500 U.S. and 290,000 South Korean troops. “Key Resolve” is a computer-simulated desktop exercise involving approximately 12,200 U.S. and 10,000 South Korean military personnel. WHAT’S THE PLAN? The U.S. is proceeding with the exercises under the assumption they will not derail the expected meeting in May between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, based on assurances delivered by South Korean emissaries March 8 that Kim “understands that the routine joint military exercises between the Republic of Korea and the United States must continue.” North Korea, which typically denounces the annual drills with fiery rhetoric insisting they are a thinly disguised rehearsal for an invasion of the North, has been curiously silent. Not just about the exercises, but about any aspect of the meeting that is supposedly just two months away. In the two weeks since the historic announcement, Pyongyang has not acknowledged Trump’s acceptance of Kim’s invitation. For now, the U.S. continues to rely on the South Korean version of the North Korea’s intent. WILL McMASTER REPLACE BROOKS? The Pentagon yesterday refused to confirm or deny reports in the South Korea media that Gen. Vincent Brooks, commander of U.S. Forces Korea, will step down sometime this summer. “We have no personnel announcements at this time,” Col. Rob Manning said at a briefing yesterday. Brooks has been in the high-profile command since April of 2016, a tour that typically, but not always, runs three years. If Brooks retires, and Trump decides to follow through with what sources say is his plan to replace Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster as his national security adviser, the four-star command of U.S. and South Korea troops during a time of crisis would be a soft landing spot for the three-star general. THINKING THROUGH THE UNTHINKABLE: If Trump’s meeting with Kim happens, those planning security for the event can’t deny the dictator’s past, which includes allegations that he ordered his brother’s death at a public airport when a pair of women splashed his face with precursors of the VX nerve agent. Experts know that a diplomatic meeting between Trump and Kim would be tightly controlled, with negotiations between the U.S. and North Korea determining the number of security personnel joining each leader, as well as any accompanying weaponry. But there are significant unknowns, including whether Kim would be physically searched, and whether the choice of venue would make it difficult to protect against the most extreme scenarios involving physical risk to Trump. Steven Nelson talked to several security experts for a story in this week’s magazine. DUNFORD’S AFGHANISTAN GUT CHECK: Joint Chiefs Chairman, and former Afghanistan commander, Gen. Joseph Dunford has arrived in Afghanistan for a weeklong inspection tour, in which he plans to visit all the units that are advising Afghan forces on the front lines of the battle with the Taliban. “I want to talk to the actual advisers who are working on the ground with the Afghans every day and make some conclusions about where we are,” Dunford told reporters traveling with him. I want to get a good feel for the campaign plan and what they expect to do over the next couple of months,” Dunford said. “I also want to have a discussion on measures of effectiveness — how will we know as this is going on over the next couple of months we are where we need to be in implementing the Afghan’s plan.” Dunford’s trip comes on the heels of last week’s visit by Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, and as the Afghan strategy is under increasing scrutiny from Congress as the war chugs through its 17th year, with no sign that the Taliban are ready to accept Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s offer to begin peace talks aimed at political recognition and reconciliation. Good Tuesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense. |
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HAPPENING TODAY, SERVICE SECRETARIES TESTIFY: After more than a month of subcommittee budget hearings, the full House Armed Services Committee will hear testimony this morning at 10 from three service secretaries on their fiscal 2019 requests. Army Secretary Mark Esper, Navy Secretary Richard V. Spencer and Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson will likely face hours of questioning about how they plan to spend their extra defense dollars. But Armed Services is also looking for an update on its efforts over the past few years to cut costs on expensive Pentagon weapons programs. HYTEN AT SASC: The top U.S. nuclear commander testifies this morning at 9:30 to the Senate Armed Services Committee. Gen. John Hyten is likely to lay out the Trump administration’s new nuclear posture plans, including the development of new low-yield cruise and sub-launched missiles, and the growing threats from Russia and North Korea. MBS MEETS DJT: Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who likes to go by his initials MBS, meets at the White House today with Trump before embarking on a marathon tour of the nation aimed at burnishing the Kingdom’s image as a good business partner and military ally. The prince is also expected to meet with Mattis at some point, but the Pentagon has not confirmed that as of this morning. While in Washington, he will also meet with members of Congress and the Cabinet before heading to Boston, Houston, San Francisco and Los Angeles. OMNIBUS SPEED BUMPS: Congress is struggling to find agreement over several dozen “riders” on a $1.2 trillion omnibus spending package that must pass by Friday midnight. Republican appropriators had hoped to introduce the legislation by last night but are not ready, which could stall the release until some time today. The House is scheduled to leave town for a two-week recess on Thursday, but Republicans were warned yesterday to keep their schedules flexible. “I don’t think they can get all of these things resolved by tonight,” Rep. Mike Simpson said. DANCING AROUND TURKEY: The Pentagon is decidedly unhappy with NATO ally Turkey, which insists on pursuing its own agenda in northern Syria and continues to ignore all U.S. entreaties to find some kind of accommodation that would secure it southern border without disrupting the final phase of the war against the Islamic State. The Turkish military offensive, paradoxically named “Operation Olive Branch,” is not only killing Syrian Kurds, it’s killing the momentum that the U.S. had built up against the last remnants of ISIS in the Middle Euphrates River Valley. U.S.-backed Kurds are abandoning the fight against ISIS in the east to counter Turkish forces in the west. “We cannot allow ISIS to regain momentum at this critical point,” Manning said, reading a prepared statement at yesterday’s off-camera briefing. “We are very concerned about the effect that fighting there has had on our defeat ISIS efforts. And would like to see an end to the hostilities before ISIS has an opportunity to regroup in eastern Syria.” The Pentagon says ISIS retains small pockets of territory throughout Syria, but the largest concentration of ISIS forces is near Abukamal, where ISIS retains about 2 percent of the combined territory it held in Iraq and Syria at its peak. Manning was sharply critical of the humanitarian disaster being created in the Afrin region of Syria where Turkish troops captured a dam and pumping station, and according the U.N., cut off the supply of clean water to local residents. “Clean water is vital to survival. We encourage all parties to allow the free flow of these resources and much needed humanitarian aid throughout Syria,” Manning said, while carefully avoiding calling out Turkey by name. When Kasım İleri of Turkey’s Anadolu news service tried to pin down who Manning was blaming for the water shortage, Manning again refused to point the finger at the U.S. ally. “More than who to blame, is the need to stop it, and the need to ensure that all parties focus on the reason why they are there. Civilian casualties, them not getting that humanitarian assistance, a growing humanitarian crisis. It’s gotta be stopped. It’s gotta be averted,” he said. DEEP STATE BELIEF: A majority of Americans think unelected federal bureaucrats wield too much influence over national policy and believe in the existence of a “deep state,” according to a new poll. NO CALL TO PUTIN: Trump does not plan to congratulate Russian President Vladimir Putin on his election for a new six-year term, the White House said Monday, days after the U.S. agreed with Britain’s assessment that Moscow was behind a nerve agent attack in London earlier this month. POISONING CONDEMNED: Russia’s alleged poisoning of a former spy in the United Kingdom drew the condemnation of Europe’s top diplomats, who echoed British complaints that the incident violated bans on the use of chemical weapons. A ‘SERIOUS’ QUESTION: As yesterday’s off-camera briefing was wrapping, Jeff Schogol, a reporter for Task and Purpose, said he had a “serious” question for Manning. Tongue planted firmly in cheek, Schogol asked if the much-debated Space Force, which just won the endorsement of the president, would have different uniforms from the other services. Manning didn’t take the bait, and the question drew a few laughs. Manning called space “an important domain,” and said as for uniforms, “we’re taking a look at that.” Which led me to wonder on Twitter if the Space Force would also have its own service academy, and if the students there would be space cadets? THE RUNDOWN Reuters: Exclusive: Trump to boost exports of lethal drones to more U.S. allies New York Times: Soldier in Bloody Niger Mission Had Warned of Gaps, Defense Officials Say USNI News: Navy, Newport News Taking Steps Towards Two-Carrier Buy Washington Post: There’s a small chance an asteroid will smack into Earth in 2135. NASA is working on a plan. Reuters: Britain wins fresh EU, NATO support over nerve attack Bloomberg: Navy Weighs Buying Two More Costly Carriers in One Big Contract Defense News: South Korea to deploy ‘artillery killer’ to destroy North Korean bunkers Task and Purpose: The Anatomy Of A Bullsh*t SAS Sniper Story Military Times: DoD’s cost of low-yield nuclear warhead for submarines set at $48.5 million New York Times: Kremlin Credits the West for Big Turnout for Putin AFP: In Mosul post-IS, paragliders take to the skies again AP: What’s next after Turkey seizes Syria’s Afrin Business Insider: 15 years ago, the US invaded Iraq — here’s how it changed the Middle East country Army Times: Army to get THAAD and Patriot systems to communicate within two years Breaking Defense: Washington Must Tell Saudi Prince No More Help For Yemen CNN: Meghan McCain shares a photo of her dad Marine Corps Times: Meet Chesty XV, the new Marine Corps mascot |
CalendarTUESDAY | MARCH 20 7 a.m. 2121 Crystal Dr. Precision Strike Annual Review (PSAR-18). ndia.org 8 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. Army Installations of the Future Hot Topic. ausa.org 9 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Kremlin Aggression in Ukraine: Seeking Restitution for Private Property. atlanticcouncil.org 9:30 a.m. Hart 216. Hearing on U.S. Strategic Command with Gen. John Hyten. armed-services.senate.gov 10 a.m. Rayburn 2118. Hearing to Assess the Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Request and Acquisition Reform Progress with Army Secretary Mark Esper, Navy Secretary Richard V. Spencer, and Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson. armedservices.house.gov 10 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave NE. Public Diplomacy Challenges for the Trump Administration. heritage.org 11 a.m. 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Book discussion of “Directorate S: The CIA and America’s Secret Wars in Afghanistan and Pakistan” with author Steve Coll. cato.org 2 p.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Submarine Industrial Base: Options for Construction with James Geurts, Assistant Secretary of the Navy; Rear Adm. Michael Jabaley, Navy Program Executive Officer for Submarines; and Rear Adm. John Tammen, Director of the Navy Undersea Warfare Division. armedservices.house.gov 2:30 p.m. Russell 232-A. Hearing on Marine Corps Ground Modernization with Jimmy Smith, Deputy Assistant Secretary Of The Navy For Expeditionary Programs And Logistics Management, and Lt. Gen. Robert Walsh, Deputy Commandant For Combat Development And Integration. armed-services.senate.gov 3:30 p.m. Rayburn 2118. Subcommittee Hearing on Navy Readiness Posture with Vice Adm. Luke McCollum, Chief of Navy Reserve; Vice Adm. Bill Lescher, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations; and Vice Adm. Woody Lewis, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations. armedservices.house.gov WEDNESDAY | MARCH 21 6:45 a.m. 1250 South Hayes St. Special Topic Breakfast with Vice Adm. Charles Ray, Deputy Commandant for Operations, U.S. Coast Guard. navyleague.org 8 a.m. 2101 Wilson Blvd. Health Affairs Breakfast featuring Kenneth Bertram, Principal Assistant for Acquisition for the US Army Medical Research and Materiel Command. ndia.org 8 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Directed Energy Summit 2018 with Nadia Schadlow, Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy. csbaonline.org 9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Sen. Robert Menendez on Congressional Leadership in Foreign Policy. csis.org 10 a.m. Rayburn 2118. Hearing on State and Non-State Actor Influence Operations: Recommendations for U.S. National Security with retired Gen. Phillip Breedlove, Former Commander of U.S. European Command, and Michael Lumpkin, Former Assistant Secretary of Defense. armedservices.house.gov 10 a.m. Hart 216. Open Hearing on Election Security. intelligence.senate.gov 10:15 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Army Vision and Modernization Priorities with Secretary Mark Esper. atlanticcouncil.org 12 noon. Iran’s Ballistic Missiles: Capabilities, Intentions, and the Evolving Threat. defenddemocracy.org 1:30 p.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. Discussion on the Close Combat Lethality Task Force with Robert Wilkie, undersecretary of defense for personnel and readiness. ausa.org 2 p.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Ground Force Modernization Budget Request for Fiscal Year 2019 with Lt. Gen. Paul Ostrowski, Military Deputy to the Assistant Secretary of the Army; Lt. Gen. John Murray, Army Deputy Chief of Staff; Lt. General Robert Walsh, Deputy Commandant; and Brig. Gen. Joe Shrader, Commanding General of Marine Corps Systems Command. armedservices.house.gov 2 p.m. Rayburn 2167. Subcommittee Hearing on U.S. Responses to China’s Foreign Influence Operations. foreignaffairs.house.gov 2 p.m. Rayburn 2172. Subcommittee Hearing on Implications of a U.S.-Saudi Arabia Nuclear Cooperation Agreement for the Middle East. foreignaffairs.house.gov 2:30 p.m. Russell 222. Subcommittee Hearing on Ballistic Missile Defense Policies and Programs with John Rood, Under Secretary Of Defense For Policy; Gen. Lori Robinson, Commander of U.S. Northern Command; Lt. Gen. Samuel Greaves, Director of the Missile Defense Agency; and Lt. Gen. James Dickinson, Commanding General of Army Space And Missile Defense Command. armed-services.senate.gov 2:30 p.m. Russell 232-A. Subcommittee Hearing on Navy Shipbuilding Programs James Geurts, Assistant Secretary of the Navy; Vice Adm. William Merz, Deputy Chief Of Naval Operations; and Brig. Gen. James Adams, Director of Marine Corps Capabilities Development Directorate. armed-services.senate.gov 3:30 p.m. Rayburn 2118. Subcommittee Hearing on Military Personnel Posture: FY 2019 with Lt. Gen. Thomas Seamands, Army Deputy Chief of Staff; Vice Adm. Robert Burke, Chief of Naval Personnel; Lt. Gen. Gina Grosso, Air Force Deputy Chief of Staff; and Lt. Gen. Michael Rocco, Marine Corps Deputy Commandant. armedservices.house.gov THURSDAY | MARCH 22 6:30 a.m. Institute of Land Warfare Breakfast Series with Lt. Gen. Timothy Kadavy, Director of the Army National Guard. ausa.org 8 a.m. Rayburn 2167. Aircraft Carrier Industrial Base Coalition Congressional breakfast with Reps. Rob Wittman, Joe Courtney, and others. 9 a.m. Rayburn 2118. Subcommittee Hearing on the Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Request for Nuclear Forces and Atomic Energy Defense Activities with John Rood, Under Secretary of Defense; Gen. Robin Rand, Commander of Air Force Global Strike Command; and Vice Adm. Terry Benedict, Director of Navy Strategic Systems Programs. armedservices.house.gov 10 a.m. Hart 216. Challenges in the Department of Energy’s Atomic Energy Defense Programs with Rick Perry, Secretary Of Energy. armed-services.senate.gov 10 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. Defending American Citizens: The Strategic Defense Initiative. heritage.org 10:30 a.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing to Review Department of Defense Strategy, Policy, and Programs for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction for Fiscal Year 2019 with Ken Rapuano, Assistant Secretary of Defense; Guy Roberts, Assistant Defense Secretary; and Lt. Gen. Joseph Osterman, Deputy Commander of U.S. Special Operations Command. armedservices.house.gov 12:30 p.m. 529 14th St. Release of “Testing Trilateral, U.S.-Japan, and U.S.-ROK Responses to North Korean Provocations: Tabletop Exercise Pacific Trident.” spfusa.org 3:30 p.m. 529 14th St. NW. Turkey’s July 15th coup book launch and discussion. press.org FRIDAY | MARCH 23 9 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. ISIS’ Genocide of Christians – A Step toward Its Caliphate: The Past, Present and Future of Christians in the Middle East. heritage.org 9:30 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. “Star Wars” and Cyber: Can history help us build today’s defenses? WIth a briefing by Army Capt. James Torrence on his award-winning essay “Cyber Defense and the Strategic Defense Initiative.” csis.org 10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW. What’s next for the war(s) in Syria? brookings.edu MONDAY | MARCH 26 10:30 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW. The new geopolitics of Turkey and the West. brookings.edu 3:30 p.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Russian Influence in Moldova. atlanticcouncil.org TUESDAY | MARCH 27 11:30 a.m. 740 15th St. NW. Countering Violent Extremism: Learning from African-American Muslim Experiences. newamerica.org |
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