As Democrats get ready for their first debate with all qualifying candidates on a single stage, the crowded 2020 Democratic nomination battle is believed by many to be a three person race: Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and Sen. Bernie Sanders. But with nearly five months to go before the first votes are cast in Iowa, there’s still a good chance that at least one of the candidates currently in the lower-tier will break out and vault into the top-tier. Thursday night’s debate could provide the best opportunity for the other seven candidates on stage to do so. So what’s the best chance for the non-Biden-Warren-Sanders candidates to break out? Let’s look at them one by one.

Sen. Kamala Harris