IN GEORGIA, POST-CONVICTION RELIEF FOR TRUMP. This newsletter has been watching the polls carefully for any sign of change related to the guilty verdict in the Manhattan trial of former President Donald Trump. The trial ended 26 days ago, which can seem like years with the pace of politics these days. But the fact is, millions of voters are still processing the results of Trump’s trial, and the full effects might not yet be visible.

So far, looking only at the national polls, it appears Trump’s conviction has narrowed his already-narrow lead over President Joe Biden by perhaps a point. In the RealClearPolitics average of national polls, Trump leads Biden by a single point, 46.2% to 45.2%. In the FiveThirtyEight average of polls, Biden leads Trump by 0.2 points, 40.9 to 40.7. So it’s close — almost exactly tied, actually — and it has been made a little closer by Trump’s conviction.