The next swing state? Republicans believe it could be New Jersey

Published February 15, 2025 8:00am ET



Democrats held on to New Jersey in the 2024 presidential race, but with former Vice President Kamala Harris winning the state over President Donald Trump by just 5 points and a close gubernatorial race in 2021, its future as a solidly blue state could be in doubt.

Trump, in his other two runs for president in 2016 and 2020, lost the state by double digits. But his loss there still marked the closest a Republican has come to flipping the state since former President George H.W. Bush lost the state by 2.4 points in 1992.

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